Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Tarleton State Texans — but San Diego Toreros won instead.
Spread: San Diego Toreros (-5.5)
Resolved San Diego Toreros. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Tarleton State Texans. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Tarleton State Texans 44%
$477.95
-$92.55
Smart Money Signal
4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000 | San Diego Torerosavg 32.1¢ | $67.78 | $211.35 | +$143.57 | 42% 2467-3376 (5843) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR | Tarleton State Texansavg 68.7¢ | $156.86 | — | -$156.86 | 56% 8710-6770 (15480) |
HO HomeRunHazard | San Diego Torerosavg 57.1¢ | $79.4 | $139 | +$59.6 | 54% 18469-15536 (34005) |
 rayvanmechelen | San Diego Torerosavg 56.2¢ | $61.86 | $110.09 | -$10.19 | 53% 2689-2368 (5057) |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Tarleton State Texansavg 45¢ | $45 | — | -$121.5 | 58% 47459-34244 (81703) |
 dips.CTR<$100 | Tarleton State Texansavg 75.6¢ | $12.85 | — | -$12.85 | 47% 10993-12612 (23605) |
 RN1<$100 | San Diego Torerosavg 22¢ | $2.75 | $12.52 | +$9.77 | 53% 62265-54490 (116755) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | San Diego Torerosavg 99.3¢ | $4.96 | $4.99 | +$0.03 | 54% 10426-8742 (19168) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100 | Tarleton State Texansavg 47¢ | $2.35 | — | -$4.13 | 52% 8999-8155 (17154) |
Invested
$67.78
Value
$211.35
PnL
+$143.57
Record
42%
2467-3376 (5843)
Invested
$156.86
Value
—
PnL
-$156.86
Record
56%
8710-6770 (15480)
Invested
$79.4
Value
$139
PnL
+$59.6
Record
54%
18469-15536 (34005)
rayvanmechelenInvested
$61.86
Value
$110.09
PnL
-$10.19
Record
53%
2689-2368 (5057)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$45
Value
—
PnL
-$121.5
Record
58%
47459-34244 (81703)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$12.85
Value
—
PnL
-$12.85
Record
47%
10993-12612 (23605)
RN1<$100Invested
$2.75
Value
$12.52
PnL
+$9.77
Record
53%
62265-54490 (116755)
Invested
$4.96
Value
$4.99
PnL
+$0.03
Record
54%
10426-8742 (19168)
Invested
$2.35
Value
—
PnL
-$4.13
Record
52%
8999-8155 (17154)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000
San Diego Toreros — $211.35
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
CTRTarleton State Texans — $0
HomeRunHazard
San Diego Toreros — $139
rayvanmechelen
San Diego Toreros — $110.09
VeryLucky888
CTRTarleton State Texans — $0
dips.
CTRTarleton State Texans — $0
RN1
San Diego Toreros — $12.52
Pan9X
San Diego Toreros — $4.99
ameisgoat11
CTRTarleton State Texans — $0