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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.

Stanford Cardinal vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 151.5

Resolved Under. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Over 40%

Total Value

$1.5K

Combined PnL

$-1.6K

Smart Money Signal

Over

5 of 12 top traders (42%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over0%

Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares3,181

Combined PnL$-2.4K

Under7 traders

Total Value$1.5K

Total Shares1,535

Combined PnL+$775.12

Over — 42%Under — 58%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO HomeRunHazardCTR	Overavg 53.7¢	$1.5K	—	$-1.5K	57% 3601-2755 (6356)
0xheavy888	Underavg 47.5¢	$316.35	$666	+$349.65	55% 462-381 (843)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872	Underavg 57¢	$224.59	$394.02	+$169.43	55% 1469-1221 (2690)
HI hi774c	Underavg 47¢	$127.23	$270.7	+$143.47	22% 163-589 (752)
BI biying99999	Underavg 45.3¢	$89.78	$198.23	+$108.45	34% 96-187 (283)
TO tomb2456CTR	Overavg 52¢	$810.9	—	-$810.9	50% 32-32 (64)
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100	Underavg 99¢	$4.99	$5.04	+$0.05	98% 429-7 (436)
0X 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks<$100	Underavg 47¢	$25.09	$1	-$0.09	55% 256-211 (467)
NA NatoAlfistaCTR<$100	Overavg 53¢	$70.49	—	-$70.49	42% 157-221 (378)
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100	Overavg 53¢	$24.38	—	-$24.38	48% 1953-2074 (4027)
VeryLucky888<$100	Underavg 46.3¢	$71.82	$0.01	+$4.15	53% 1232-1075 (2307)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR	Overavg 50¢	$600	—	+$0	72% 120-47 (167)

HomeRunHazardCTR

Invested

$1,499.95

Value

—

PnL

$-1.5K

Record

57%

3601-2755 (6356)

Invested

$316.35

Value

$666

PnL

+$349.65

Record

55%

462-381 (843)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Invested

$224.59

Value

$394.02

PnL

+$169.43

Record

55%

1469-1221 (2690)

Invested

$127.23

Value

$270.7

PnL

+$143.47

Record

22%

163-589 (752)

Invested

$89.78

Value

$198.23

PnL

+$108.45

Record

34%

96-187 (283)

Invested

$810.9

Value

—

PnL

-$810.9

Record

50%

32-32 (64)

0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100

Invested

$4.99

Value

$5.04

PnL

+$0.05

Record

98%

429-7 (436)

0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks<$100

Invested

$25.09

Value

$1

PnL

-$0.09

Record

55%

256-211 (467)

NatoAlfistaCTR<$100

Invested

$70.49

Value

—

PnL

-$70.49

Record

42%

157-221 (378)

ferdinand2CTR<$100

Invested

$24.38

Value

—

PnL

-$24.38

Record

48%

1953-2074 (4027)

VeryLucky888<$100

Invested

$71.82

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$4.15

Record

53%

1232-1075 (2307)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR

Invested

$600

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

72%

120-47 (167)

Smart Money Signal

Over

5 of 12 top traders (42%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x62e95d9b...7f8b58

Slug

cbb-stan-unlv-2026-11-13-total-151pt5

Traders in this Market

HomeRunHazard

Over — $0

0xheavy888

Under — $666

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Under — $394.02

hi774c

Under — $270.7

biying99999

Under — $198.23

tomb2456

Over — $0

0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105

Under — $5.04

0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks

Under — $1

NatoAlfista

Over — $0

ferdinand2

Over — $0

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