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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: O/U 146.5

Resolved Over. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Under 100%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$260.22

Combined PnL

-$193.99

Smart Money Signal

Under

8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%

Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares418

Combined PnL-$194.21

Over1 trader

Total Value$0.48

Total Shares0

Combined PnL+$0.22

Under — 89%Over — 11%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO HomeRunHazardARB<$100	Underavg 47.8¢	$636.42	$259.74	-$376.68	57% 3570-2717 (6287)
└ Under leg	Underavg 47.8¢	$497.46	—	-$497.46
└ Over leg	Overavg 53.5¢	$138.96	$259.74	+$120.79
FL FlaznorpCTR	Underavg 45.4¢	$111.89	—	-$111.89	50% 3544-3611 (7155)
SE sentrioCTR<$100	Underavg 44.7¢	$31.59	—	-$31.59	43% 920-1244 (2164)
FO Forecastication2CTR<$100	Underavg 43.6¢	$27.9	—	-$27.9	45% 224-276 (500)
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100	Underavg 46.5¢	$7.35	—	-$7.35	40% 614-914 (1528)
0X 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100	Underavg 47¢	$7.52	—	-$7.52	55% 250-204 (454)
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100	Underavg 45¢	$4.95	—	-$4.95	49% 1883-1987 (3870)
HI hi774c<$100	Overavg 54¢	$0.26	$0.48	+$0.22	21% 158-579 (737)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100	Underavg 46.5¢	$93	—	-$3.01	53% 1186-1032 (2218)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR	Underavg 50¢	$800	—	+$0	73% 119-43 (162)

HomeRunHazardARB<$100

Invested

$636.42

Value

$259.74

PnL

-$376.68

Record

57%

3570-2717 (6287)

Both legs:

Under$497.4647.8¢-$497.46

Over$138.9653.5¢+$120.79

Invested

$111.89

Value

—

PnL

-$111.89

Record

50%

3544-3611 (7155)

sentrioCTR<$100

Invested

$31.59

Value

—

PnL

-$31.59

Record

43%

920-1244 (2164)

Forecastication2CTR<$100

Invested

$27.9

Value

—

PnL

-$27.9

Record

45%

224-276 (500)

ameisgoat11CTR<$100

Invested

$7.35

Value

—

PnL

-$7.35

Record

40%

614-914 (1528)

0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100

Invested

$7.52

Value

—

PnL

-$7.52

Record

55%

250-204 (454)

ferdinand2CTR<$100

Invested

$4.95

Value

—

PnL

-$4.95

Record

49%

1883-1987 (3870)

Invested

$0.26

Value

$0.48

PnL

+$0.22

Record

21%

158-579 (737)

VeryLucky888CTR<$100

Invested

$93

Value

—

PnL

-$3.01

Record

53%

1186-1032 (2218)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR

Invested

$800

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

73%

119-43 (162)

Smart Money Signal

Under

8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xd4f878b0...2ee771

Slug

cbb-semst-mtnst-2026-11-13-total-146pt5

Traders in this Market

HomeRunHazard

Arbitrage — excluded

Flaznorp

Under — $0

sentrio

Under — $0

Forecastication2

Under — $0

ameisgoat11

Under — $0

0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks

Under — $0

ferdinand2

Under — $0

hi774c

Over — $0.48

VeryLucky888

Under — $0

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

Under — $0

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