Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils

3 of 14 top Polymarket traders hold Quinnipiac Bobcats (21%) · Quinnipiac Bobcats at 82¢ · $5K held · ends Nov 15

Quinnipiac Bobcats82¢Central Connecticut State Blue Devils18¢Ends Sun, Nov 15, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

Quinnipiac Bobcats

Consensus Traders

Quinnipiac Bobcats 21%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$4.8K

Combined PnL

-$318.15

Smart Money Entry

66.2¢ → 81.5¢

+23% since entry · 3 traders

Research grade

AvoidQuinnipiac Bobcats at 82%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Quinnipiac Bobcats

3 of 14 top traders (21%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Quinnipiac Bobcats82%

Central Connecticut State Blue Devils19%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Quinnipiac Bobcats3 traders

Total Value$2.6K

Total Shares3,056

Combined PnL+$395.93

Central Connecticut State Blue Devils11 traders

Total Value$1.0K

Total Shares3,565

Combined PnL-$714.09

Quinnipiac Bobcats — 21%Central Connecticut State Blue Devils — 79%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SN SnakeBallARB<$100	Quinnipiac Bobcatsavg 54.9¢	$927.04	$1.2K	+$259.42	47% 1199-1376 (2575)
└ Quinnipiac Bobcats leg	Quinnipiac Bobcatsavg 54.9¢	$617.16	$871.81	+$254.65
└ Central Connecticut State Blue Devils leg	Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsavg 22.2¢	$309.88	$314.64	+$4.76
BA Bagwell306	Quinnipiac Bobcatsavg 56.7¢	$784.58	$1.1K	+$336.05	37% 94-161 (255)
SU suitcase6628	Quinnipiac Bobcatsavg 78¢	$1.1K	$1.0K	+$32.7	66% 783-410 (1193)
NO NotJumpCTR	Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsavg 44¢	$538.02	$536.93	+$6.18	50% 1136-1139 (2275)
RN1	Quinnipiac Bobcatsavg 63.1¢	$420.52	$447.7	+$27.18	54% 6019-5096 (11115)
HO HomeRunHazardCTR	Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsavg 43.7¢	$711.88	$235.96	-$475.93	56% 3922-3103 (7025)
TH thirdt1meCTR	Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsavg 37.5¢	$212	$58	-$97	48% 373-412 (785)
38 38791873984189CTR	Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsavg 43.3¢	$148.23	$57.01	-$41.96	48% 3968-4327 (8295)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100	Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsavg 14¢	$37.08	$38.4	+$1.32	50% 2851-2894 (5745)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsavg 41¢	$73.8	$29.7	-$44.1	58% 4006-2920 (6926)
dips.CTR<$100	Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsavg 41¢	$52.16	$23.84	-$26.56	48% 1307-1398 (2705)
PA Pan9XCTR<$100	Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsavg 35¢	$38.58	$21.37	-$12.84	50% 2190-2198 (4388)
SM smithagentCTR<$100	Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsavg 41¢	$42.32	$14	-$20.32	46% 882-1039 (1921)
BO BoomLaLaCTR<$100	Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsavg 14¢	$7	$7.25	+$0.25	39% 234-370 (604)
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100	Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsavg 43¢	$4.73	$1.6	-$3.14	48% 2555-2763 (5318)

SnakeBallARB<$100

Quinnipiac Bobcats

Invested

$927.04

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$259.42

Record

47%

1199-1376 (2575)

Both legs:

Quinnipiac Bobcats$617.1654.9¢+$254.65

Central Connecticut State Blue Devils$309.8822.2¢+$4.76

Bagwell306

Quinnipiac Bobcats

Invested

$784.58

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$336.05

Record

37%

94-161 (255)

suitcase6628

Quinnipiac Bobcats

Invested

$1,104.77

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$32.7

Record

66%

783-410 (1193)

NotJumpCTR

Central Connecticut State Blue Devils

Invested

$538.02

Value

$536.93

PnL

+$6.18

Record

50%

1136-1139 (2275)

RN1

Quinnipiac Bobcats

Invested

$420.52

Value

$447.7

PnL

+$27.18

Record

54%

6019-5096 (11115)

HomeRunHazardCTR

Central Connecticut State Blue Devils

Invested

$711.88

Value

$235.96

PnL

-$475.93

Record

56%

3922-3103 (7025)

thirdt1meCTR

Central Connecticut State Blue Devils

Invested

$212

Value

$58

PnL

-$97

Record

48%

373-412 (785)

38791873984189CTR

Central Connecticut State Blue Devils

Invested

$148.23

Value

$57.01

PnL

-$41.96

Record

48%

3968-4327 (8295)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100

Central Connecticut State Blue Devils

Invested

$37.08

Value

$38.4

PnL

+$1.32

Record

50%

2851-2894 (5745)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Central Connecticut State Blue Devils

Invested

$73.8

Value

$29.7

PnL

-$44.1

Record

58%

4006-2920 (6926)

dips.CTR<$100

Central Connecticut State Blue Devils

Invested

$52.16

Value

$23.84

PnL

-$26.56

Record

48%

1307-1398 (2705)

Pan9XCTR<$100

Central Connecticut State Blue Devils

Invested

$38.58

Value

$21.37

PnL

-$12.84

Record

50%

2190-2198 (4388)

smithagentCTR<$100

Central Connecticut State Blue Devils

Invested

$42.32

Value

$14

PnL

-$20.32

Record

46%

882-1039 (1921)

BoomLaLaCTR<$100

Central Connecticut State Blue Devils

Invested

Value

$7.25

PnL

+$0.25

Record

39%

234-370 (604)

ferdinand2CTR<$100

Central Connecticut State Blue Devils

Invested

$4.73

Value

$1.6

PnL

-$3.14

Record

48%

2555-2763 (5318)

Research grade

AvoidQuinnipiac Bobcats at 82%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Quinnipiac Bobcats

3 of 14 top traders (21%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Quinnipiac Bobcats wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance83.2%

81.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.7¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$20.16

Max Loss

-$100.00

120.2

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.