
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane
8 of 14 top Polymarket traders hold Tulsa Golden Hurricane (57%) · Tulsa Golden Hurricane at 98¢ · $1K held · ended Nov 12
⚠️
Avoid
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
14
Tulsa Golden Hurricane 57%
$1.5K
-$77.81
88.2¢ → 98.2¢
+11% since entry · 8 traders
Research grade
AvoidTulsa Golden Hurricane at 98%
Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.
- BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
- Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
- Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.
Smart Money Signal
8 of 14 top traders (57%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DC 0xdc41...dd7e | Tulsa Golden Hurricaneavg 95¢ | $646.95 | $643.55 | -$3.41 | — |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | Tulsa Golden Hurricaneavg 82¢ | $410 | $417.5 | +$7.5 | 55% 719-584 (1303) |
![]() alpheclabs2 | Tulsa Golden Hurricaneavg 82¢ | $117.36 | $119.5 | +$2.15 | 44% 124-159 (283) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100 | Tulsa Golden Hurricaneavg 82¢ | $54.57 | $55.57 | +$1 | 53% 1852-1667 (3519) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesavg 5¢ | $47.86 | $50.96 | +$3.1 | 47% 299-342 (641) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Tulsa Golden Hurricaneavg 92.7¢ | $46.61 | $49.78 | +$3.17 | 48% 1430-1573 (3003) |
TH thirdt1me<$100 | Tulsa Golden Hurricaneavg 83¢ | $41.49 | $41.74 | +$0.25 | 43% 125-167 (292) |
E4 0xe401...7b88<$100 | Tulsa Golden Hurricaneavg 84¢ | $34.97 | $35.17 | +$0.21 | — |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Tulsa Golden Hurricaneavg 88.1¢ | $31.69 | $16.67 | +$2.12 | 49% 693-734 (1427) |
PA pauleta23CTR<$100 | Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesavg 18¢ | $10 | $8.33 | -$1.67 | 32% 234-496 (730) |
AV averagejoetradersCTR<$100 | Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesavg 18¢ | $54 | $6.3 | -$47.7 | 56% 722-565 (1287) |
0X 0x478fhs7832bfs8f7dfdsfeshCTR<$100 | Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesavg 18¢ | $51.16 | $5.97 | -$45.19 | 6% 28-440 (468) |
C7 0xc785...4ef2CTR<$100 | Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesavg 3.9¢ | $1.33 | $2.04 | +$0.71 | — |
![]() RN1CTR<$100 | Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesavg 6¢ | $0.3 | $0.25 | -$0.05 | 57% 4059-3079 (7138) |
Invested
$646.95
Value
$643.55
PnL
-$3.41
Record
—
Invested
$410
Value
$417.5
PnL
+$7.5
Record
55%
719-584 (1303)
alpheclabs2Invested
$117.36
Value
$119.5
PnL
+$2.15
Record
44%
124-159 (283)
Invested
$54.57
Value
$55.57
PnL
+$1
Record
53%
1852-1667 (3519)
Invested
$47.86
Value
$50.96
PnL
+$3.1
Record
47%
299-342 (641)
Invested
$46.61
Value
$49.78
PnL
+$3.17
Record
48%
1430-1573 (3003)
Invested
$41.49
Value
$41.74
PnL
+$0.25
Record
43%
125-167 (292)
Invested
$34.97
Value
$35.17
PnL
+$0.21
Record
—
Invested
$31.69
Value
$16.67
PnL
+$2.12
Record
49%
693-734 (1427)
Invested
$10
Value
$8.33
PnL
-$1.67
Record
32%
234-496 (730)
Invested
$54
Value
$6.3
PnL
-$47.7
Record
56%
722-565 (1287)
Invested
$51.16
Value
$5.97
PnL
-$45.19
Record
6%
28-440 (468)
Invested
$1.33
Value
$2.04
PnL
+$0.71
Record
—
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$0.3
Value
$0.25
PnL
-$0.05
Record
57%
4059-3079 (7138)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
98.2¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xdc41...dd7e
Tulsa Golden Hurricane — $643.55
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
Tulsa Golden Hurricane — $417.5

alpheclabs2
Tulsa Golden Hurricane — $119.5
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Tulsa Golden Hurricane — $55.57
SnakeBall
CTROral Roberts Golden Eagles — $50.96
38791873984189
Tulsa Golden Hurricane — $49.78
thirdt1me
Tulsa Golden Hurricane — $41.74
0xe401...7b88
Tulsa Golden Hurricane — $35.17
Pan9X
Tulsa Golden Hurricane — $16.67
pauleta23
CTROral Roberts Golden Eagles — $8.33