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Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane

8 of 14 top Polymarket traders hold Tulsa Golden Hurricane (57%) · Tulsa Golden Hurricane at 98¢ · $1K held · ended Nov 12

Oral Roberts Golden Eagles2¢Tulsa Golden Hurricane98¢Ended Thu, Nov 12, 2026View on Polymarket
SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Consensus Traders

14

Tulsa Golden Hurricane 57%

Total Value

$1.5K

Combined PnL

-$77.81

Smart Money Entry

88.2¢ → 98.2¢

+11% since entry · 8 traders

Research grade

AvoidTulsa Golden Hurricane at 98%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

  • BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
  • Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
  • Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

8 of 14 top traders (57%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Oral Roberts Golden Eagles2%
Tulsa Golden Hurricane98%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Tulsa Golden Hurricane8 traders
Total Value$1.4K
Total Shares1,546
Combined PnL+$12.99
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles6 traders
Total Value$73.85
Total Shares1,279
Combined PnL-$90.8
Tulsa Golden Hurricane — 57%Oral Roberts Golden Eagles — 43%

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EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance99.2%

98.2¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$0.77
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
100.8

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0x5260e45f...4a7d29
Slug
cbb-oral-tulsa-2026-11-11
Trade on Polymarket