Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Oakland Golden Grizzlies — but Boise State Broncos won instead.
Spread: Boise State Broncos (-15.5)
Resolved Boise State Broncos. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Oakland Golden Grizzlies. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
5
Oakland Golden Grizzlies 80%
$587.06
-$759.59
Smart Money Signal
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazardCTR | Oakland Golden Grizzliesavg 45¢ | $1.3K | $581.36 | -$674.75 | 57% 3430-2596 (6026) |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100 | Boise State Broncosavg 99¢ | $5.64 | $5.7 | +$0.06 | 99% 216-3 (219) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Oakland Golden Grizzliesavg 44¢ | $70.84 | — | -$70.84 | 51% 2462-2334 (4796) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100 | Oakland Golden Grizzliesavg 47¢ | $2.35 | — | -$2.35 | 37% 462-771 (1233) |
0X 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100 | Oakland Golden Grizzliesavg 45¢ | $11.7 | — | -$11.7 | 56% 197-157 (354) |
Invested
$1,256.11
Value
$581.36
PnL
-$674.75
Record
57%
3430-2596 (6026)
Invested
$5.64
Value
$5.7
PnL
+$0.06
Record
99%
216-3 (219)
Invested
$70.84
Value
—
PnL
-$70.84
Record
51%
2462-2334 (4796)
Invested
$2.35
Value
—
PnL
-$2.35
Record
37%
462-771 (1233)
Invested
$11.7
Value
—
PnL
-$11.7
Record
56%
197-157 (354)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
HomeRunHazard
CTROakland Golden Grizzlies — $581.36
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105
Boise State Broncos — $5.7
Flaznorp
CTROakland Golden Grizzlies — $0
ameisgoat11
CTROakland Golden Grizzlies — $0
0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
CTROakland Golden Grizzlies — $0