
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Washington Huskies
5 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold Washington Huskies (83%) · Washington Huskies at 100¢ · $2K held · ended Nov 10
⚠️
Avoid
Washington Huskies
6
Washington Huskies 83%
$1.8K
$24.23
97.3¢ → 99.7¢
+2% since entry · 5 traders
Research grade
AvoidWashington Huskies at 100%
Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.
- BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
- Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.
Smart Money Signal
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | Washington Huskiesavg 97.5¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$3.7 | 56% 403-323 (726) |
38 38791873984189 | Washington Huskiesavg 97¢ | $508.97 | $409.2 | +$12.98 | 48% 603-645 (1248) |
PA Pan9X | Washington Huskiesavg 96.9¢ | $207.38 | $153.53 | +$5.57 | 47% 329-371 (700) |
SU suitcase6628<$100 | Washington Huskiesavg 98.5¢ | $78.8 | $78.24 | -$0.56 | 62% 127-77 (204) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100 | Washington Huskiesavg 95.1¢ | $45.76 | $47.31 | +$1.55 | 54% 1541-1296 (2837) |
![]() RN1CTR<$100 | Mississippi Valley State Delta Devilsavg 1.4¢ | $1.73 | $2.72 | +$0.99 | 58% 3628-2593 (6221) |
Invested
$1,153.54
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$3.7
Record
56%
403-323 (726)
Invested
$508.97
Value
$409.2
PnL
+$12.98
Record
48%
603-645 (1248)
Invested
$207.38
Value
$153.53
PnL
+$5.57
Record
47%
329-371 (700)
Invested
$78.8
Value
$78.24
PnL
-$0.56
Record
62%
127-77 (204)
Invested
$45.76
Value
$47.31
PnL
+$1.55
Record
54%
1541-1296 (2837)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$1.73
Value
$2.72
PnL
+$0.99
Record
58%
3628-2593 (6221)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
99.7¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
Washington Huskies — $1.2K
38791873984189
Washington Huskies — $409.2
Pan9X
Washington Huskies — $153.53
suitcase6628
Washington Huskies — $78.24
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Washington Huskies — $47.31

RN1
CTRMississippi Valley State Delta Devils — $2.72