Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Over β but Under won instead.

Manhattan Jaspers vs. Le Moyne Dolphins: O/U 149.5
Resolved Under. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
8
Over 71%
$90.8
-$126.36
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MA MarquisDeMott<$100 | Underavg 99.1Β’ | $76.31 | $77 | +$0.69 | 94% 141-9 (150) |
HO HomeRunHazard<$100 | Underavg 55Β’ | $7.59 | $13.8 | +$6.21 | 56% 3787-2956 (6743) |
![]() RN1CTR<$100 | Overavg 6.8Β’ | $18.19 | β | -$18.19 | 55% 5758-4807 (10565) |
![]() alpheclabs2CTR<$100 | Overavg 20Β’ | $25 | β | -$25 | 45% 344-420 (764) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Overavg 11.3Β’ | $18.79 | β | -$18.79 | 47% 3580-3963 (7543) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR<$100 | Overavg 32.7Β’ | $43.86 | β | -$43.86 | 55% 1779-1463 (3242) |
FO Forecastication2CTR<$100 | Overavg 43.6Β’ | $27.48 | β | -$27.48 | 44% 290-365 (655) |
![]() ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Underavg 99Β’ | $5.45 | β | +$0.05 | 83% 882-182 (1064) |
Invested
$76.31
Value
$77
PnL
+$0.69
Record
94%
141-9 (150)
Invested
$7.59
Value
$13.8
PnL
+$6.21
Record
56%
3787-2956 (6743)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$18.19
Value
β
PnL
-$18.19
Record
55%
5758-4807 (10565)
alpheclabs2CTR<$100Invested
$25
Value
β
PnL
-$25
Record
45%
344-420 (764)
Invested
$18.79
Value
β
PnL
-$18.79
Record
47%
3580-3963 (7543)
Invested
$43.86
Value
β
PnL
-$43.86
Record
55%
1779-1463 (3242)
Invested
$27.48
Value
β
PnL
-$27.48
Record
44%
290-365 (655)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$5.45
Value
β
PnL
+$0.05
Record
83%
882-182 (1064)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
MarquisDeMott
Under β $77
HomeRunHazard
Under β $13.8

RN1
CTROver β $0

alpheclabs2
CTROver β $0
38791873984189
CTROver β $0
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
CTROver β $0
Forecastication2
CTROver β $0

ARTEM-DZYUBA
Under β $0