Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 149.5
Resolved Over. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Over 83%
1 arb excluded
$687.26
$173.86
Smart Money Signal
6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazardARB<$100 | Underavg 56.8¢ | $1.5K | $327.12 | $-1.2K | 57% 3601-2755 (6356) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 56.8¢ | $1.3K | — | $-1.3K | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 46.9¢ | $153.5 | $327.12 | +$173.62 | |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Overavg 50¢ | $450 | $200 | +$112 | 72% 120-47 (167) |
38 38791873984189 | Overavg 47¢ | $74.2 | $141 | +$75.8 | 48% 3052-3353 (6405) |
0X 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100 | Underavg 56.1¢ | $22.45 | — | -$22.45 | 55% 256-211 (467) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Overavg 43¢ | $3.93 | $9.14 | +$5.21 | 49% 3640-3753 (7393) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Overavg 43¢ | $2.15 | $5 | +$2.85 | 43% 949-1283 (2232) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Overavg 51¢ | $2.55 | $5 | +$2.45 | 40% 639-940 (1579) |
 VeryLucky888<$100 | Overavg 49¢ | $49 | — | -$2 | 53% 1232-1075 (2307) |
Invested
$1,491.05
Value
$327.12
PnL
$-1.2K
Record
57%
3601-2755 (6356)
Both legs:
Invested
$450
Value
$200
PnL
+$112
Record
72%
120-47 (167)
Invested
$74.2
Value
$141
PnL
+$75.8
Record
48%
3052-3353 (6405)
Invested
$22.45
Value
—
PnL
-$22.45
Record
55%
256-211 (467)
Invested
$3.93
Value
$9.14
PnL
+$5.21
Record
49%
3640-3753 (7393)
Invested
$2.15
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.85
Record
43%
949-1283 (2232)
Invested
$2.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.45
Record
40%
639-940 (1579)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$49
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
53%
1232-1075 (2307)