Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was St. Johns Red Storm — but St. John's Red Storm won instead.

Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-26.5)

Resolved St. John's Red Storm. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held St. Johns Red Storm. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

St. Johns Red Storm 83%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

Combined PnL

-$298.72

St. Johns Red Storm

6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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St. Johns Red Storm0%

Iona Gaels0%

St. Johns Red Storm6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares316

Combined PnL-$294.15

Iona Gaels1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares83

Combined PnL-$4.57

St. Johns Red Storm — 86%Iona Gaels — 14%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO HomeRunHazardARB<$100	Iona Gaelsavg 44.1¢	$252.95	—	-$252.95	54% 19989-16868 (36857)
└ Iona Gaels leg	Iona Gaelsavg 44.1¢	$122.59	—	-$175.32
└ St. Johns Red Storm leg	St. Johns Red Stormavg 54¢	$119.61	—	-$77.64
38 38791873984189CTR	St. Johns Red Stormavg 56¢	$174.15	—	-$174.15	48% 70290-75979 (146269)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR<$100	St. Johns Red Stormavg 94.5¢	$82.8	—	-$78.23	57% 17059-13037 (30096)
LO looppauCTR<$100	St. Johns Red Stormavg 99.9¢	$21	—	-$20.98	99% 15876-133 (16009)
PA Pan9XCTR<$100	St. Johns Red Stormavg 56¢	$16.36	—	-$15.15	52% 27270-24782 (52052)
RL RLWGCTR<$100	St. Johns Red Stormavg 54¢	$5.65	—	-$5.65	49% 8559-8732 (17291)
dips.CTR<$100	Iona Gaelsavg 5.5¢	$4.57	—	-$4.57	46% 12125-14052 (26177)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR	St. Johns Red Stormavg 50¢	$200	—	+$0	56% 195-152 (347)