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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Houston Cougars — but California Golden Bears won instead.

Spread: Houston Cougars (-19.5)

Resolved California Golden Bears. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Houston Cougars. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Houston Cougars 50%

Total Value

$12.0K

Combined PnL

$-24.8K

Smart Money Signal

Houston Cougars

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Houston Cougars0%

California Golden Bears100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Houston Cougars6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares28,125

Combined PnL$-29.6K

California Golden Bears4 traders

Total Value$12.0K

Total Shares12,028

Combined PnL+$4.8K

Houston Cougars — 60%California Golden Bears — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FE ferrariChampions2026CTR	Houston Cougarsavg 52.2¢	$3.6K	—	$-29.4K	46% 33637-39289 (72926)
HI hi774c	California Golden Bearsavg 48.9¢	$3.6K	$7.4K	+$3.8K	46% 5694-6591 (12285)
HO HomeRunHazard	California Golden Bearsavg 48¢	$3.4K	$4.2K	+$804.46	54% 20181-17012 (37193)
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080	California Golden Bearsavg 49¢	$399.99	$399.99	+$203.99	51% 2332-2276 (4608)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872<$100	California Golden Bearsavg 48¢	$15.02	$15.02	+$7.81	57% 17605-13370 (30975)
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100	Houston Cougarsavg 51.2¢	$5.06	—	-$13.05	52% 9612-8742 (18354)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Houston Cougarsavg 51.1¢	$80.05	—	-$18.16	48% 71751-77431 (149182)
0xheavy888CTR	Houston Cougarsavg 51¢	$169.83	—	-$169.83	56% 8940-7061 (16001)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR<$100	Houston Cougarsavg 50¢	—	—	+$0	57% 208-159 (367)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100	Houston Cougarsavg 51¢	—	—	+$0	58% 53377-37936 (91313)

ferrariChampions2026CTR

Houston Cougars

Invested

$3,631

Value

—

PnL

$-29.4K

Record

46%

33637-39289 (72926)

California Golden Bears

Invested

$3,620.66

Value

$7.4K

PnL

+$3.8K

Record

46%

5694-6591 (12285)

California Golden Bears

Invested

$3,404.54

Value

$4.2K

PnL

+$804.46

Record

54%

20181-17012 (37193)

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080

California Golden Bears

Invested

$399.99

Value

$399.99

PnL

+$203.99

Record

51%

2332-2276 (4608)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872<$100

California Golden Bears

Invested

$15.02

Value

$15.02

PnL

+$7.81

Record

57%

17605-13370 (30975)

ameisgoat11CTR<$100

Houston Cougars

Invested

$5.06

Value

—

PnL

-$13.05

Record

52%

9612-8742 (18354)

38791873984189CTR<$100

Houston Cougars

Invested

$80.05

Value

—

PnL

-$18.16

Record

48%

71751-77431 (149182)

Houston Cougars

Invested

$169.83

Value

—

PnL

-$169.83

Record

56%

8940-7061 (16001)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR<$100

Houston Cougars

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

208-159 (367)

VeryLucky888CTR<$100

Houston Cougars

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

58%

53377-37936 (91313)

Smart Money Signal

Houston Cougars

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x6aafa8fa...9bf4c7

Slug

cbb-hou-cah-2026-11-08-spread-away-19pt5

Traders in this Market

ferrariChampions2026

Houston Cougars — $0

hi774c

California Golden Bears — $7.4K

HomeRunHazard

California Golden Bears — $4.2K

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080

California Golden Bears — $399.99

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

California Golden Bears — $15.02

ameisgoat11

Houston Cougars — $0

38791873984189

Houston Cougars — $0

0xheavy888

Houston Cougars — $0

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

Houston Cougars — $0

VeryLucky888

Houston Cougars — $0

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