Grambling State Tigers vs. Northern Illinois Huskies

9 of 16 top Polymarket traders hold Grambling State Tigers (56%) · Grambling State Tigers at 89¢ · $22K held · ended Nov 2

Grambling State Tigers89¢Northern Illinois Huskies11¢Ended Mon, Nov 2, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

Grambling State Tigers

Consensus Traders

Grambling State Tigers 56%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$22.5K

Combined PnL

$311.16

Smart Money Entry

66.6¢ → 88.5¢

+33% since entry · 9 traders

Research grade

AvoidGrambling State Tigers at 89%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Grambling State Tigers

9 of 16 top traders (56%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Grambling State Tigers89%

Northern Illinois Huskies12%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Grambling State Tigers9 traders

Total Value$10.5K

Total Shares14,866

Combined PnL-$192.03

Northern Illinois Huskies7 traders

Total Value$6.1K

Total Shares11,891

Combined PnL+$503.19

Grambling State Tigers — 56%Northern Illinois Huskies — 44%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Surging

+23 pts consensus

Breadth

8 traders

Top 2 hold 95%

Freshness

Fresh

1h old

Flip Quality

Watch

1 consensus flip

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

73% of non-arb traders are on Grambling State Tigers. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 95% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrGrambling State Tigers 73% · 11

Aligned

Top 1000Grambling State Tigers 73% · 11

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
NO NotJumpARB<$100	Grambling State Tigersavg 60.2¢	$5.8K	$5.6K	-$222.93	42% 7723-10451 (18174)
└ Grambling State Tigers leg	Grambling State Tigersavg 60.2¢	$3.5K	$2.8K	-$679.93
└ Northern Illinois Huskies leg	Northern Illinois Huskiesavg 42.9¢	$2.3K	$2.7K	+$457
RE redvinny	Grambling State Tigersavg 76.9¢	$4.4K	$5.2K	+$778.94	75% 1528-505 (2033)
AW awesoCTR	Northern Illinois Huskiesavg 36.7¢	$3.1K	$4.0K	+$924.71	46% 60-71 (131)
SU suntori	Grambling State Tigersavg 62.4¢	$4.5K	$3.5K	$-1.0K	44% 6439-8045 (14484)
FL Flaznorp	Grambling State Tigersavg 54.1¢	$1.2K	$1.7K	+$5.08	51% 17604-16613 (34217)
TO torta.techCTR	Northern Illinois Huskiesavg 64.1¢	$1.3K	$1.0K	-$258.47	62% 8306-4990 (13296)
38 38791873984189CTR	Northern Illinois Huskiesavg 36.2¢	$1.4K	$924.53	-$41.98	47% 12972-14546 (27518)
IW iWasEnoughARB<$100	Northern Illinois Huskiesavg 55.3¢	$395.3	$204.75	+$13.65	53% 8070-7281 (15351)
└ Northern Illinois Huskies leg	Northern Illinois Huskiesavg 55.3¢	$165.47	$159.97	-$5.53
└ Grambling State Tigers leg	Grambling State Tigersavg 26.6¢	$25.59	$44.77	+$19.18
DI dips.ARB<$100	Grambling State Tigersavg 38.3¢	$66.44	$141.32	+$74.88	46% 7314-8499 (15813)
└ Northern Illinois Huskies leg	Northern Illinois Huskiesavg 14.8¢	$25.92	$89.98	+$64.06
└ Grambling State Tigers leg	Grambling State Tigersavg 38.3¢	$40.52	$51.34	+$10.82
CI cigarettesCTR	Northern Illinois Huskiesavg 19¢	$234.96	$117.37	-$117.6	56% 18363-14703 (33066)
US User7429<$100	Grambling State Tigersavg 34¢	$43.72	$65	+$21.27	55% 8528-6845 (15373)
HRTrading<$100	Grambling State Tigersavg 56¢	$37.1	$33.96	-$3.55	53% 6368-5753 (12121)
FO Forecastication2<$100	Grambling State Tigersavg 25¢	$7.8	$15.78	+$7.97	50% 7247-7345 (14592)
FE ferdinand2<$100	Grambling State Tigersavg 54.2¢	$13.55	$12.64	-$0.91	51% 991-958 (1949)
LA lavendergooms<$100	Grambling State Tigersavg 34¢	$8.14	$11.14	+$3.72	52% 2650-2401 (5051)
SH shoemanhere<$100	Grambling State Tigersavg 34¢	$7.48	$11.12	+$3.64	56% 7173-5531 (12704)
VD VD721lsj4938Dk388CTR<$100	Northern Illinois Huskiesavg 42¢	$6.47	$7.71	+$1.23	55% 1810-1505 (3315)
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100	Northern Illinois Huskiesavg 17¢	$9.69	$6.84	-$2.85	58% 48499-34661 (83160)
SM smithagentCTR<$100	Northern Illinois Huskiesavg 11.7¢	$8.07	$6.21	-$1.86	48% 3290-3579 (6869)

NotJumpARB<$100

Grambling State Tigers

Invested

$5,785.52

Value

$5.6K

PnL

-$222.93

Record

42%

7723-10451 (18174)

Both legs:

Grambling State Tigers$3,502.6860.2¢-$679.93

Northern Illinois Huskies$2,282.8542.9¢+$457

redvinny

Grambling State Tigers

Invested

$4,402.93

Value

$5.2K

PnL

+$778.94

Record

75%

1528-505 (2033)

awesoCTR

Northern Illinois Huskies

Invested

$3,052.76

Value

$4.0K

PnL

+$924.71

Record

46%

60-71 (131)

suntori

Grambling State Tigers

Invested

$4,506.69

Value

$3.5K

PnL

$-1.0K

Record

44%

6439-8045 (14484)

Flaznorp

Grambling State Tigers

Invested

$1,243.91

Value

$1.7K

PnL

+$5.08

Record

51%

17604-16613 (34217)

torta.techCTR

Northern Illinois Huskies

Invested

$1,306.69

Value

$1.0K

PnL

-$258.47

Record

62%

8306-4990 (13296)

38791873984189CTR

Northern Illinois Huskies

Invested

$1,384.41

Value

$924.53

PnL

-$41.98

Record

47%

12972-14546 (27518)

iWasEnoughARB<$100

Northern Illinois Huskies

Invested

$395.3

Value

$204.75

PnL

+$13.65

Record

53%

8070-7281 (15351)

Both legs:

Northern Illinois Huskies$165.4755.3¢-$5.53

Grambling State Tigers$25.5926.6¢+$19.18

dips.ARB<$100

Grambling State Tigers

Invested

$66.44

Value

$141.32

PnL

+$74.88

Record

46%

7314-8499 (15813)

Both legs:

Northern Illinois Huskies$25.9214.8¢+$64.06

Grambling State Tigers$40.5238.3¢+$10.82

cigarettesCTR

Northern Illinois Huskies

Invested

$234.96

Value

$117.37

PnL

-$117.6

Record

56%

18363-14703 (33066)

User7429<$100

Grambling State Tigers

Invested

$43.72

Value

$65

PnL

+$21.27

Record

55%

8528-6845 (15373)

HRTrading<$100

Grambling State Tigers

Invested

$37.1

Value

$33.96

PnL

-$3.55

Record

53%

6368-5753 (12121)

Forecastication2<$100

Grambling State Tigers

Invested

$7.8

Value

$15.78

PnL

+$7.97

Record

50%

7247-7345 (14592)

ferdinand2<$100

Grambling State Tigers

Invested

$13.55

Value

$12.64

PnL

-$0.91

Record

51%

991-958 (1949)

lavendergooms<$100

Grambling State Tigers

Invested

$8.14

Value

$11.14

PnL

+$3.72

Record

52%

2650-2401 (5051)

shoemanhere<$100

Grambling State Tigers

Invested

$7.48

Value

$11.12

PnL

+$3.64

Record

56%

7173-5531 (12704)

VD721lsj4938Dk388CTR<$100

Northern Illinois Huskies

Invested

$6.47

Value

$7.71

PnL

+$1.23

Record

55%

1810-1505 (3315)

UpTheBluesCTR<$100

Northern Illinois Huskies

Invested

$9.69

Value

$6.84

PnL

-$2.85

Record

58%

48499-34661 (83160)

smithagentCTR<$100

Northern Illinois Huskies

Invested

$8.07

Value

$6.21

PnL

-$1.86

Record

48%

3290-3579 (6869)

Research grade

AvoidGrambling State Tigers at 89%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Grambling State Tigers

9 of 16 top traders (56%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Surging

+23 pts consensus

Breadth

8 traders

Top 2 hold 95%

Freshness

Fresh

1h old

Flip Quality

Watch

1 consensus flip

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

73% of non-arb traders are on Grambling State Tigers. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 95% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrGrambling State Tigers 73% · 11

Aligned

Top 1000Grambling State Tigers 73% · 11

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Grambling State Tigers wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance90.0%

88.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.5¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$11.15

Max Loss

-$100.00

111.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.