Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Georgia Bulldogs

8 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold Georgia Bulldogs (80%) · Georgia Bulldogs at 99¢ · $3K held · ended Nov 10

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles2¢Georgia Bulldogs98¢Ended Tue, Nov 10, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

Georgia Bulldogs

Consensus Traders

Georgia Bulldogs 80%

Total Value

$2.6K

Combined PnL

-$94.19

Smart Money Entry

93¢ → 98.5¢

+6% since entry · 8 traders

Research grade

AvoidGeorgia Bulldogs at 99%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Georgia Bulldogs

8 of 10 top traders (80%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles2%

Georgia Bulldogs99%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Georgia Bulldogs8 traders

Total Value$2.6K

Total Shares2,664

Combined PnL+$84.14

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles2 traders

Total Value$12

Total Shares2,391

Combined PnL-$178.32

Georgia Bulldogs — 80%Florida Gulf Coast Eagles — 20%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

7 traders

Top 2 hold 62%

Freshness

Fresh

1h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

88% of non-arb traders are on Georgia Bulldogs. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 62% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrGeorgia Bulldogs 100% · 3

Aligned

Top 1000Georgia Bulldogs 88% · 8

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872	Georgia Bulldogsavg 93¢	$1.4K	$1.4K	+$21	52% 190-177 (367)
SU suitcase6628	Georgia Bulldogsavg 92¢	$480	$477.6	+$36	— 1-1 (2)
38 38791873984189	Georgia Bulldogsavg 95¢	$242.58	$200.15	+$2.37	50% 405-412 (817)
0X 0x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-1775842903107	Georgia Bulldogsavg 92¢	$160	$159.2	+$12	2% 6-238 (244)
SN SnakeBall	Georgia Bulldogsavg 96.3¢	$470.46	$105.3	+$3.18	48% 69-75 (144)
dips.	Georgia Bulldogsavg 92¢	$100	$99.5	+$7.5	46% 115-136 (251)
PA Pan9X<$100	Georgia Bulldogsavg 92.6¢	$75.9	$59.26	+$1.44	49% 183-194 (377)
CI cigarettes<$100	Georgia Bulldogsavg 93.1¢	$46.55	$47.2	+$0.65	45% 163-199 (362)
0X 0xdeff55f3132a313985035c34539e94da7b9178f8CTR	Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesavg 8¢	$2.4K	$11.9	-$178.32	1% 1-118 (119)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100	Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesavg 1¢	$0.1	$0.1	+$0	23% 49-162 (211)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Georgia Bulldogs

Invested

$1,394.96

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$21

Record

52%

190-177 (367)

suitcase6628

Georgia Bulldogs

Invested

$480

Value

$477.6

PnL

+$36

Record

—

1-1 (2)

38791873984189

Georgia Bulldogs

Invested

$242.58

Value

$200.15

PnL

+$2.37

Record

50%

405-412 (817)

0x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-1775842903107

Georgia Bulldogs

Invested

$160

Value

$159.2

PnL

+$12

Record

6-238 (244)

SnakeBall

Georgia Bulldogs

Invested

$470.46

Value

$105.3

PnL

+$3.18

Record

48%

69-75 (144)

dips.

Georgia Bulldogs

Invested

$100

Value

$99.5

PnL

+$7.5

Record

46%

115-136 (251)

Pan9X<$100

Georgia Bulldogs

Invested

$75.9

Value

$59.26

PnL

+$1.44

Record

49%

183-194 (377)

cigarettes<$100

Georgia Bulldogs

Invested

$46.55

Value

$47.2

PnL

+$0.65

Record

45%

163-199 (362)

0xdeff55f3132a313985035c34539e94da7b9178f8CTR

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles

Invested

$2,380.94

Value

$11.9

PnL

-$178.32

Record

1-118 (119)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles

Invested

$0.1

Value

$0.1

PnL

+$0

Record

23%

49-162 (211)

Research grade

AvoidGeorgia Bulldogs at 99%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Georgia Bulldogs

8 of 10 top traders (80%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

7 traders

Top 2 hold 62%

Freshness

Fresh

1h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

88% of non-arb traders are on Georgia Bulldogs. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 62% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrGeorgia Bulldogs 100% · 3

Aligned

Top 1000Georgia Bulldogs 88% · 8

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Georgia Bulldogs wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.5%

98.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.48

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.5

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.