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OverOverOverUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 157.5
Resolved Under. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 75%
Total Value
$5
Combined PnL
-$58.42
Smart Money Signal
Over
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares118
Combined PnL-$61.22
Under2 traders
Total Value$5
Total Shares5
Combined PnL+$2.8
Over — 60%Under — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR<$100 | Overavg 43¢ | $36.96 | — | -$36.96 | 55% 1770-1448 (3218) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Overavg 71.5¢ | $19.27 | — | -$19.27 | 47% 3551-3935 (7486) |
HO HomeRunHazardCTR<$100 | Overavg 56¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 56% 3778-2937 (6715) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Underavg 44¢ | $2.2 | $5 | +$2.8 | 42% 740-1034 (1774) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Underavg 50¢ | $1.2K | — | +$0 | 65% 140-74 (214) |
0X
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR<$100Invested
$36.96
Value
—
PnL
-$36.96
Record
55%
1770-1448 (3218)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$19.27
Value
—
PnL
-$19.27
Record
47%
3551-3935 (7486)
HO
HomeRunHazardCTR<$100Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
56%
3778-2937 (6715)
AM
ameisgoat11<$100Invested
$2.2
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.8
Record
42%
740-1034 (1774)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesInvested
$1,200
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
140-74 (214)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x13efb3d7...802a20
Slug
cbb-dxst-cah-2026-11-14-total-157pt5