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OverOverUnderUnderUnder Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Over β but Under won instead.

Bakersfield Roadrunners vs. North Dakota State Bison: O/U 152.5
Resolved Under. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 50%
Total Value
$29
Combined PnL
-$14.68
Smart Money Signal
Over
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares58
Combined PnL-$30.95
Under3 traders
Total Value$29
Total Shares29
Combined PnL+$16.27
Over β 40%Under β 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Overavg 58.3Β’ | $19.91 | β | -$19.91 | 48% 4844-5167 (10011) |
HO HomeRunHazardCTR<$100 | Overavg 47Β’ | $11.04 | β | -$11.04 | 56% 3959-3128 (7087) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | Underavg 42Β’ | $10.08 | $24 | +$13.92 | 42% 774-1086 (1860) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Underavg 53Β’ | $2.65 | $5 | +$2.35 | 43% 878-1159 (2037) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Underavg 50Β’ | $600 | β | +$0 | 63% 152-88 (240) |
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$19.91
Value
β
PnL
-$19.91
Record
48%
4844-5167 (10011)
HO
HomeRunHazardCTR<$100Invested
$11.04
Value
β
PnL
-$11.04
Record
56%
3959-3128 (7087)
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100Invested
$10.08
Value
$24
PnL
+$13.92
Record
42%
774-1086 (1860)
AM
ameisgoat11<$100Invested
$2.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.35
Record
43%
878-1159 (2037)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesInvested
$600
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
152-88 (240)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdee222c9...13670f
Slug
cbb-csu-ndkst-2026-11-15-total-152pt5