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Over
VeryLucky888<$100UnderOverUnderOver Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Over β but Under won instead.

Bakersfield Roadrunners vs. North Dakota State Bison: O/U 151.5
Resolved Under. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 67%
Total Value
$4.77
Combined PnL
-$203.24
Smart Money Signal
Over
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares417
Combined PnL-$205.75
Under2 traders
Total Value$4.77
Total Shares5
Combined PnL+$2.51
Over β 60%Under β 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazardCTR | Overavg 50Β’ | $203.5 | β | -$203.5 | 56% 3959-3128 (7087) |
![]() VeryLucky888<$100 | Underavg 48Β’ | $1.81 | $3.77 | +$1.96 | 54% 2045-1764 (3809) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Overavg 23.6Β’ | $2.25 | β | -$2.25 | 48% 4844-5167 (10011) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Underavg 49Β’ | $4.45 | $1 | +$0.55 | 43% 878-1159 (2037) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Overavg 50Β’ | $400 | β | +$0 | 63% 152-88 (240) |
HO
HomeRunHazardCTRInvested
$203.5
Value
β
PnL
-$203.5
Record
56%
3959-3128 (7087)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$1.81
Value
$3.77
PnL
+$1.96
Record
54%
2045-1764 (3809)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$2.25
Value
β
PnL
-$2.25
Record
48%
4844-5167 (10011)
AM
ameisgoat11<$100Invested
$4.45
Value
$1
PnL
+$0.55
Record
43%
878-1159 (2037)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$400
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
152-88 (240)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x425fbeef...ed6eb9
Slug
cbb-csu-ndkst-2026-11-15-total-151pt5