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Under
0xheavy888CTR<$100UnderOver
RN1CTR<$100UnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Creighton Bluejays vs. Kansas State Wildcats: O/U 158.5
Resolved Over. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 80%
Total Value
$8.02
Combined PnL
-$44.46
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares79
Combined PnL-$47.99
Over1 trader
Total Value$8.02
Total Shares8
Combined PnL+$3.53
Under — 80%Over — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazardCTR<$100 | Underavg 47¢ | $29.97 | — | -$29.97 | 57% 3109-2336 (5445) |
0xheavy888CTR<$100 | Underavg 47¢ | $9.4 | — | -$9.4 | 56% 147-116 (263) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Overavg 56¢ | $4.49 | $8.02 | +$3.53 | 50% 1640-1620 (3260) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Underavg 32¢ | $3.72 | — | -$3.72 | 57% 3877-2879 (6756) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100 | Underavg 49¢ | $4.9 | — | -$4.9 | 28% 205-534 (739) |
HO
HomeRunHazardCTR<$100Invested
$29.97
Value
—
PnL
-$29.97
Record
57%
3109-2336 (5445)
0xheavy888CTR<$100Invested
$9.4
Value
—
PnL
-$9.4
Record
56%
147-116 (263)
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$4.49
Value
$8.02
PnL
+$3.53
Record
50%
1640-1620 (3260)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$3.72
Value
—
PnL
-$3.72
Record
57%
3877-2879 (6756)
AM
ameisgoat11CTR<$100Invested
$4.9
Value
—
PnL
-$4.9
Record
28%
205-534 (739)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4a9796a5...cc7554
Slug
cbb-creigh-kanst-2026-11-10-total-158pt5