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UnderOverUnderUnderOverUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 151.5
Resolved Over. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Under 67%
Total Value
$87
Combined PnL
$-3.1K
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares3,597
Combined PnL$-3.1K
Over2 traders
Total Value$87
Total Shares87
Combined PnL+$4.89
Under — 67%Over — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazardCTR | Underavg 49¢ | $2.9K | — | $-2.8K | 54% 19992-16872 (36864) |
MA MarquisDeMott<$100 | Overavg 99.1¢ | $77 | $77 | +$0.69 | 98% 4590-102 (4692) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR | Underavg 40¢ | $500 | — | -$200 | 57% 17059-13038 (30097) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Underavg 48.7¢ | $416.42 | — | -$112.73 | 48% 70301-75984 (146285) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | Overavg 60¢ | $5.8 | $10 | +$4.2 | 56% 39466-31114 (70580) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100 | Underavg 49¢ | $5 | — | -$2.45 | 52% 9525-8636 (18161) |
HO
HomeRunHazardCTRInvested
$2,928.72
Value
—
PnL
$-2.8K
Record
54%
19992-16872 (36864)
MA
MarquisDeMott<$100Invested
$77
Value
$77
PnL
+$0.69
Record
98%
4590-102 (4692)
0X
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTRInvested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$200
Record
57%
17059-13038 (30097)
38
38791873984189CTRInvested
$416.42
Value
—
PnL
-$112.73
Record
48%
70301-75984 (146285)
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100Invested
$5.8
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.2
Record
56%
39466-31114 (70580)
AM
ameisgoat11CTR<$100Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$2.45
Record
52%
9525-8636 (18161)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5e5cb677...23ad2c
Slug
cbb-camp-wmich-2026-11-08-total-151pt5