Boston Terriers vs. Northwestern Wildcats

3 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold Northwestern Wildcats (30%) · Northwestern Wildcats at 93¢ · $817 held · ended Nov 10

Boston Terriers8¢Northwestern Wildcats92¢Ended Tue, Nov 10, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

Northwestern Wildcats

Consensus Traders

Northwestern Wildcats 30%

Total Value

$816.72

Combined PnL

$15.25

Smart Money Entry

91¢ → 92.5¢

+2% since entry · 3 traders

Research grade

AvoidNorthwestern Wildcats at 93%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Northwestern Wildcats

3 of 10 top traders (30%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Boston Terriers8%

Northwestern Wildcats93%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Northwestern Wildcats3 traders

Total Value$619.96

Total Shares676

Combined PnL+$3.31

Boston Terriers7 traders

Total Value$196.76

Total Shares1,959

Combined PnL+$11.95

Northwestern Wildcats — 30%Boston Terriers — 70%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0xheavy888	Northwestern Wildcatsavg 91¢	$606.06	$609.39	+$3.33	68% 30-14 (44)
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100	Boston Terriersavg 8.9¢	$76.85	$82.19	+$5.34	52% 271-247 (518)
nigiri99CTR<$100	Boston Terriersavg 9¢	$58.98	$61.03	+$2.21	42% 28-38 (66)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Boston Terriersavg 8.5¢	$17	$18	+$1	49% 398-410 (808)
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100	Boston Terriersavg 7.3¢	$13.24	$15.43	+$2.19	46% 50-59 (109)
HO HomeRunHazardCTR<$100	Boston Terriersavg 9¢	$11.25	$11.88	+$0.63	30% 29-67 (96)
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100	Boston Terriersavg 7¢	$7.04	$7.48	+$0.44	27% 100-275 (375)
PA Pan9X<$100	Northwestern Wildcatsavg 92¢	$15.24	$5.99	-$0.05	48% 179-191 (370)
AM ameisgoat11<$100	Northwestern Wildcatsavg 91¢	$4.55	$4.58	+$0.03	20% 48-194 (242)
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100	Boston Terriersavg 7¢	$0.63	$0.77	+$0.14	48% 42-46 (88)

0xheavy888

Northwestern Wildcats

Invested

$606.06

Value

$609.39

PnL

+$3.33

Record

68%

30-14 (44)

FlaznorpCTR<$100

Boston Terriers

Invested

$76.85

Value

$82.19

PnL

+$5.34

Record

52%

271-247 (518)

nigiri99CTR<$100

Boston Terriers

Invested

$58.98

Value

$61.03

PnL

+$2.21

Record

42%

28-38 (66)

38791873984189CTR<$100

Boston Terriers

Invested

$17

Value

$18

PnL

+$1

Record

49%

398-410 (808)

SnakeBallCTR<$100

Boston Terriers

Invested

$13.24

Value

$15.43

PnL

+$2.19

Record

46%

50-59 (109)

HomeRunHazardCTR<$100

Boston Terriers

Invested

$11.25

Value

$11.88

PnL

+$0.63

Record

30%

29-67 (96)

MadridTimeCTR<$100

Boston Terriers

Invested

$7.04

Value

$7.48

PnL

+$0.44

Record

27%

100-275 (375)

Pan9X<$100

Northwestern Wildcats

Invested

$15.24

Value

$5.99

PnL

-$0.05

Record

48%

179-191 (370)

ameisgoat11<$100

Northwestern Wildcats

Invested

$4.55

Value

$4.58

PnL

+$0.03

Record

20%

48-194 (242)

LuckyLooCTR<$100

Boston Terriers

Invested

$0.63

Value

$0.77

PnL

+$0.14

Record

48%

42-46 (88)

Research grade

AvoidNorthwestern Wildcats at 93%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Northwestern Wildcats

3 of 10 top traders (30%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Northwestern Wildcats wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance93.8%

92.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.3¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$6.61

Max Loss

-$100.00

106.6

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.