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OverUnder
0xheavy888CTRUnderUnder
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Under
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Little Rock Trojans vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 157.5
Resolved Over. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 75%
Total Value
$144.6
Combined PnL
-$103.79
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over1 trader
Total Value$144.6
Total Shares145
Combined PnL+$72.03
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares353
Combined PnL-$175.83
Over — 20%Under — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazard | Overavg 50.2¢ | $72.57 | $144.6 | +$72.03 | 57% 3177-2395 (5572) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Underavg 47¢ | $7.07 | — | -$7.07 | 51% 1751-1707 (3458) |
0xheavy888CTR | Underavg 50¢ | $166.5 | — | -$166.5 | 56% 179-138 (317) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100 | Underavg 48¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 30% 246-578 (824) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Underavg 46¢ | $6.93 | — | +$0.14 | 52% 410-384 (794) |
HO
HomeRunHazardInvested
$72.57
Value
$144.6
PnL
+$72.03
Record
57%
3177-2395 (5572)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$7.07
Value
—
PnL
-$7.07
Record
51%
1751-1707 (3458)
0xheavy888CTRInvested
$166.5
Value
—
PnL
-$166.5
Record
56%
179-138 (317)
AM
ameisgoat11CTR<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
30%
246-578 (824)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$6.93
Value
—
PnL
+$0.14
Record
52%
410-384 (794)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe5544bef...2274fd
Slug
cbb-arlr-nmx-2026-11-10-total-157pt5