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RN1<$100New Mexico LobosNew Mexico LobosNew Mexico LobosLittle Rock TrojansLittle Rock TrojansLittle Rock Trojans Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Little Rock Trojans β but New Mexico Lobos won instead.

Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-21.5)
Resolved New Mexico Lobos. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Little Rock Trojans. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Little Rock Trojans 60%
Total Value
$84.32
Combined PnL
-$34.48
Smart Money Signal
Little Rock Trojans
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
New Mexico Lobos100%
Little Rock Trojans0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
New Mexico Lobos3 traders
Total Value$84.32
Total Shares84
Combined PnL+$35.78
Little Rock Trojans3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares146
Combined PnL-$70.26
New Mexico Lobos β 50%Little Rock Trojans β 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() RN1<$100 | New Mexico Lobosavg 58Β’ | $39.76 | $68.55 | +$28.79 | 57% 3975-2973 (6948) |
HO HomeRunHazard<$100 | New Mexico Lobosavg 55.6Β’ | $8.77 | $15.76 | +$6.99 | 57% 3177-2395 (5572) |
MA MarquisDeMott<$100 | New Mexico Lobosavg 99.1Β’ | $0.01 | $0.01 | +$0 | 87% 33-5 (38) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Little Rock Trojansavg 45Β’ | $38.11 | β | -$38.11 | 51% 1751-1707 (3458) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Little Rock Trojansavg 45Β’ | $10.41 | β | -$10.41 | 36% 315-551 (866) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Little Rock Trojansavg 57.3Β’ | $21.75 | β | -$21.75 | 49% 612-639 (1251) |
RN1<$100Invested
$39.76
Value
$68.55
PnL
+$28.79
Record
57%
3975-2973 (6948)
HO
HomeRunHazard<$100Invested
$8.77
Value
$15.76
PnL
+$6.99
Record
57%
3177-2395 (5572)
MA
MarquisDeMott<$100Invested
$0.01
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$0
Record
87%
33-5 (38)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$38.11
Value
β
PnL
-$38.11
Record
51%
1751-1707 (3458)
SE
sentrioCTR<$100Invested
$10.41
Value
β
PnL
-$10.41
Record
36%
315-551 (866)
PA
Pan9XCTR<$100Invested
$21.75
Value
β
PnL
-$21.75
Record
49%
612-639 (1251)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x64962d1b...e9e1ed
Slug
cbb-arlr-nmx-2026-11-10-spread-home-21pt5