Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Charlotte 49ers — but Appalachian State Mountaineers won instead.
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Charlotte 49ers
Resolved Appalachian State Mountaineers. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held Charlotte 49ers. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
18
Charlotte 49ers 60%
$1.3K
$42.29
Smart Money Signal
11 of 18 top traders (61%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 nigiri99 | Appalachian State Mountaineersavg 24¢ | $218.4 | $910 | +$691.6 | 51% 499-470 (969) |
AV averagejoetraders | Appalachian State Mountaineersavg 63¢ | $189 | $300 | +$111 | 56% 748-599 (1347) |
 0xheavy888CTR | Charlotte 49ersavg 76¢ | $506.92 | — | -$506.92 | 55% 441-368 (809) |
 RN1CTR | Charlotte 49ersavg 32.5¢ | $160.55 | — | -$160.55 | 56% 5073-4021 (9094) |
TH thirdt1me<$100 | Appalachian State Mountaineersavg 75¢ | $14.43 | $19.24 | +$4.81 | 48% 243-264 (507) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Charlotte 49ersavg 24.7¢ | $110.04 | — | -$43.46 | 48% 2942-3249 (6191) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR<$100 | Charlotte 49ersavg 13¢ | $19.65 | — | -$19.65 | 55% 1350-1126 (2476) |
HI hi774c<$100 | Appalachian State Mountaineersavg 23¢ | $2.73 | $11.87 | +$9.14 | 21% 158-579 (737) |
HO HomeRunHazardCTR<$100 | Charlotte 49ersavg 74.8¢ | $15.95 | — | -$15.95 | 57% 3570-2717 (6287) |
 poshposh<$100 | Appalachian State Mountaineersavg 17¢ | $1.27 | $7.48 | +$6.21 | 48% 1014-1101 (2115) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Charlotte 49ersavg 30.2¢ | $15.61 | — | -$10.8 | 49% 1349-1396 (2745) |
 VeryLucky888<$100 | Appalachian State Mountaineersavg 23¢ | $0.88 | $3.84 | +$2.96 | 53% 1186-1032 (2218) |
SU suitcase6628CTR<$100 | Charlotte 49ersavg 35¢ | $24.5 | — | -$24.5 | 64% 535-298 (833) |
 dips.CTR<$100 | Charlotte 49ersavg 25.8¢ | $4.01 | — | -$4.01 | 47% 877-973 (1850) |
SM smithagentCTR<$100 | Charlotte 49ersavg 5¢ | $0.25 | — | -$0.25 | 44% 600-749 (1349) |
NO NotJumpCTR | Charlotte 49ersavg 50¢ | $525 | — | -$0.05 | 53% 750-672 (1422) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBA | Appalachian State Mountaineersavg 99¢ | $297 | — | +$2.7 | 82% 648-144 (792) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Charlotte 49ersavg 50¢ | $2.4K | — | +$0 | 73% 119-43 (162) |
nigiri99Invested
$218.4
Value
$910
PnL
+$691.6
Record
51%
499-470 (969)
Invested
$189
Value
$300
PnL
+$111
Record
56%
748-599 (1347)
0xheavy888CTRInvested
$506.92
Value
—
PnL
-$506.92
Record
55%
441-368 (809)
RN1CTRInvested
$160.55
Value
—
PnL
-$160.55
Record
56%
5073-4021 (9094)
Invested
$14.43
Value
$19.24
PnL
+$4.81
Record
48%
243-264 (507)
Invested
$110.04
Value
—
PnL
-$43.46
Record
48%
2942-3249 (6191)
Invested
$19.65
Value
—
PnL
-$19.65
Record
55%
1350-1126 (2476)
Invested
$2.73
Value
$11.87
PnL
+$9.14
Record
21%
158-579 (737)
Invested
$15.95
Value
—
PnL
-$15.95
Record
57%
3570-2717 (6287)
poshposh<$100Invested
$1.27
Value
$7.48
PnL
+$6.21
Record
48%
1014-1101 (2115)
Invested
$15.61
Value
—
PnL
-$10.8
Record
49%
1349-1396 (2745)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$0.88
Value
$3.84
PnL
+$2.96
Record
53%
1186-1032 (2218)
Invested
$24.5
Value
—
PnL
-$24.5
Record
64%
535-298 (833)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$4.01
Value
—
PnL
-$4.01
Record
47%
877-973 (1850)
Invested
$0.25
Value
—
PnL
-$0.25
Record
44%
600-749 (1349)
Invested
$525
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
53%
750-672 (1422)
ARTEM-DZYUBAInvested
$297
Value
—
PnL
+$2.7
Record
82%
648-144 (792)
Invested
$2,416
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
73%
119-43 (162)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
nigiri99
Appalachian State Mountaineers — $910
averagejoetraders
Appalachian State Mountaineers — $300
0xheavy888
CTRCharlotte 49ers — $0
RN1
CTRCharlotte 49ers — $0
thirdt1me
Appalachian State Mountaineers — $19.24
38791873984189
CTRCharlotte 49ers — $0
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
CTRCharlotte 49ers — $0
hi774c
Appalachian State Mountaineers — $11.87
HomeRunHazard
CTRCharlotte 49ers — $0
poshposh
Appalachian State Mountaineers — $7.48