Back to Markets
OverOverOverOverOverOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 5.5
Resolved Under. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 100%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$267.37
Combined PnL
-$322.69
Smart Money Signal
Over
5 of 5 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares3,113
Combined PnL-$322.69
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Overavg 14.6¢ | $470.58 | $267.37 | -$203.21 | 50% 32573-32704 (65277) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 88.1¢ | $235.47 | $267.37 | +$34.39 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 14.6¢ | $310.78 | — | -$237.6 | |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Overavg 10¢ | $2.4K | — | -$237.44 | 51% 47280-44570 (91850) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Overavg 9¢ | $678.97 | — | -$27.5 | 48% 70290-75979 (146269) |
PA Pan9XCTR | Overavg 10.4¢ | $343.36 | — | -$23.85 | 52% 27270-24782 (52052) |
AN Anon455CTR<$100 | Overavg 14¢ | $35 | — | -$35 | 54% 3943-3319 (7262) |
HI hi774cCTR | Overavg 9¢ | $104.75 | — | +$1.1 | 46% 5627-6537 (12164) |
GO
GoalLineGhostARB<$100Invested
$470.58
Value
$267.37
PnL
-$203.21
Record
50%
32573-32704 (65277)
Both legs:
Under$235.4788.1¢+$34.39
Over$310.7814.6¢-$237.6
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$2,374.37
Value
—
PnL
-$237.44
Record
51%
47280-44570 (91850)
38
38791873984189CTRInvested
$678.97
Value
—
PnL
-$27.5
Record
48%
70290-75979 (146269)
PA
Pan9XCTRInvested
$343.36
Value
—
PnL
-$23.85
Record
52%
27270-24782 (52052)
AN
Anon455CTR<$100Invested
$35
Value
—
PnL
-$35
Record
54%
3943-3319 (7262)
HI
hi774cCTRInvested
$104.75
Value
—
PnL
+$1.1
Record
46%
5627-6537 (12164)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x5223eed5...f1a6ce
Slug
bun-hof-s04-2026-11-08-total-5pt5