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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

SV 07 Elversberg vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Resolved Over. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

17

Under 56%

Total Value

$979.14

Combined PnL

$-9.6K

Smart Money Signal

Under

9 of 17 top traders (53%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Over100%
Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares12,178
Combined PnL$-10.3K
Over8 traders
Total Value$979.14
Total Shares979
Combined PnL+$763.85
Under — 53%Over — 47%
38
38791873984189CTR
Under

Invested

$648.94

Value

—

PnL

-$247.22

Record

46%

8032-9481 (17513)

TO
topdogbigboi
Over

Invested

$105.39

Value

$756.76

PnL

+$651.38

Record

38%

3225-5275 (8500)

RO
Rocko33
Over

Invested

$115.43

Value

$174.89

PnL

+$59.46

Record

64%

1079-608 (1687)

poshposh<$100
Over

Invested

$3.22

Value

$25.09

PnL

+$21.87

Record

59%

9968-6940 (16908)

0X
0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540<$100
Over

Invested

$19.85

Value

$22.4

PnL

+$2.55

Record

82%

2455-557 (3012)

DA
dashattackerCTR
Under

Invested

$9,690.24

Value

—

PnL

$-9.7K

Record

72%

2363-907 (3270)

HRTradingCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$8.21

Value

—

PnL

-$8.21

Record

52%

4041-3673 (7714)

KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR
Under

Invested

$398.91

Value

—

PnL

-$398.91

Record

48%

776-842 (1618)

0X
0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191CTR<$100
Under

Invested

$1.2

Value

—

PnL

-$1.2

Record

47%

4528-5014 (9542)

UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100
Under

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

59%

45388-31736 (77124)

LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100
Under

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

49%

12488-12848 (25336)

RN1CTR<$100
Under

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

56351-48500 (104851)

VA
Vampiro1<$100
Over

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

77%

3253-982 (4235)

US
User7429<$100
Over

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

8247-6664 (14911)

0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100
Under

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

59%

30391-21099 (51490)

eskillo<$100
Over

Invested

$1.51

Value

—

PnL

+$19.96

Record

42%

586-816 (1402)

ARTEM-DZYUBA
Over

Invested

$128.97

Value

—

PnL

+$8.63

Record

85%

5114-869 (5983)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xb8143b93...8e1409
Slug
bun-elv-mai-2026-10-30-first-half-total-2pt5

Traders in this Market

38

38791873984189

CTR

Under — $0

-$247.22
TO

topdogbigboi

Over — $756.76

+$651.38
RO

Rocko33

Over — $174.89

+$59.46

poshposh

Over — $25.09

+$21.87
0X

0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540

Over — $22.4

+$2.55
DA

dashattacker

CTR

Under — $0

$-9.7K

HRTrading

CTR

Under — $0

-$8.21
KE

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

CTR

Under — $0

-$398.91
0X

0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191

CTR

Under — $0

-$1.2
UP

UpTheBlues

CTR

Under — $0

+$0
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