Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 84% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 84%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$34.5K

Combined PnL

$1.2K

Smart Money Signal

53 of 63 top traders (84%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%26 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up53 traders

Total Value$34.4K

Total Shares34,400

Combined PnL+$1.4K

Down10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares651

Combined PnL-$211.24

Up — 84%Down — 16%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989	Upavg 50¢	$8.7K	$8.1K	+$19.34	54% 387-330 (717)
arcsine-barrister	Upavg 50¢	$5.0K	$4.9K	+$12.17	40% 234-356 (590)
TH THG.	Upavg 99¢	$3.4K	$3.4K	+$33.94	99% 814-7 (821)
MO mo-money	Upavg 86.2¢	$3.2K	$2.9K	+$167.04	50% 1358-1358 (2716)
AL almach	Upavg 83.4¢	$2.1K	$2.5K	+$402.01	51% 1368-1337 (2705)
BO bosona	Upavg 84.8¢	$1.8K	$2.1K	+$238.92	51% 4610-4467 (9077)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 83.1¢	$1.2K	$1.2K	-$2.57	46% 977-1126 (2103)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 94.8¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	+$59.75	98% 3591-73 (3664)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 80.1¢	$941.14	$952.54	+$11.4	51% 4968-4686 (9654)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 70.6¢	$652.92	$540.09	-$67.46	60% 995-676 (1671)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 57.6¢	$624.63	$493.88	-$7.49	54% 3405-2902 (6307)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 76.5¢	$504.03	$441.09	-$62.94	44% 709-904 (1613)
AS asdcaxz	Upavg 85.5¢	$455.44	$436.08	-$19.36	50% 4364-4429 (8793)
ST stepahead	Upavg 80¢	$406.46	$411.76	+$5.3	55% 4374-3580 (7954)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 72.8¢	$376.58	$429.97	+$53.39	46% 758-894 (1652)
KA KARIZMATIKU	Upavg 51.5¢	$187	$362.99	+$175.99	15% 28-157 (185)
machinelearned	Upavg 82.7¢	$293	$300	+$7	46% 1027-1208 (2235)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 76.2¢	$286.93	$279.19	+$18.19	50% 3063-3014 (6077)
pspspsps5	Upavg 94.3¢	$230.16	$244	+$13.84	32% 1003-2099 (3102)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 91.5¢	$392.57	$225.42	+$12.79	31% 659-1438 (2097)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025	Upavg 58.3¢	$152.29	$197.92	+$45.63	47% 2103-2356 (4459)
AL Alpharo28	Upavg 86.2¢	$171.87	$168.01	+$4.06	56% 249-199 (448)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 58.8¢	$155.17	$146	-$9.17	52% 2159-2014 (4173)
GA gansinimen	Upavg 72.7¢	$140.49	$149.97	+$9.48	51% 329-318 (647)
HC Hcrystallash	Upavg 73.3¢	$107.39	$146.42	+$39.03	58% 4971-3632 (8603)

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Invested

$8,723

Value

$8.1K

PnL

+$19.34

Record

54%

387-330 (717)

arcsine-barrister

Invested

$5,000

Value

$4.9K

PnL

+$12.17

Record

40%

234-356 (590)

THG.

Invested

$3,360.06

Value

$3.4K

PnL

+$33.94

Record

99%

814-7 (821)

mo-money

Invested

$3,171.36

Value

$2.9K

PnL

+$167.04

Record

50%

1358-1358 (2716)

almach

Invested

$2,084.87

Value

$2.5K

PnL

+$402.01

Record

51%

1368-1337 (2705)

bosona

Invested

$1,849.65

Value

$2.1K

PnL

+$238.92

Record

51%

4610-4467 (9077)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$1,225.52

Value

$1.2K

PnL

-$2.57

Record

46%

977-1126 (2103)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,084.52

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$59.75

Record

98%

3591-73 (3664)

blue.birds

Invested

$941.14

Value

$952.54

PnL

+$11.4

Record

51%

4968-4686 (9654)

Bonereaper

Invested

$652.92

Value

$540.09

PnL

-$67.46

Record

60%

995-676 (1671)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$624.63

Value

$493.88

PnL

-$7.49

Record

54%

3405-2902 (6307)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$504.03

Value

$441.09

PnL

-$62.94

Record

44%

709-904 (1613)

asdcaxz

Invested

$455.44

Value

$436.08

PnL

-$19.36

Record

50%

4364-4429 (8793)

stepahead

Invested

$406.46

Value

$411.76

PnL

+$5.3

Record

55%

4374-3580 (7954)

GoodFallen

Invested

$376.58

Value

$429.97

PnL

+$53.39

Record

46%

758-894 (1652)

KARIZMATIKU

Invested

$187

Value

$362.99

PnL

+$175.99

Record

15%

28-157 (185)

machinelearned

Invested

$293

Value

$300

PnL

+$7

Record

46%

1027-1208 (2235)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$286.93

Value

$279.19

PnL

+$18.19

Record

50%

3063-3014 (6077)

pspspsps5

Invested

$230.16

Value

$244

PnL

+$13.84

Record

32%

1003-2099 (3102)

ply-pm0

Invested

$392.57

Value

$225.42

PnL

+$12.79

Record

31%

659-1438 (2097)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Invested

$152.29

Value

$197.92

PnL

+$45.63

Record

47%

2103-2356 (4459)

Alpharo28

Invested

$171.87

Value

$168.01

PnL

+$4.06

Record

56%

249-199 (448)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$155.17

Value

$146

PnL

-$9.17

Record

52%

2159-2014 (4173)

gansinimen

Invested

$140.49

Value

$149.97

PnL

+$9.48

Record

51%

329-318 (647)

Hcrystallash

Invested

$107.39

Value

$146.42

PnL

+$39.03

Record

58%

4971-3632 (8603)

Smart Money Signal

53 of 63 top traders (84%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%26 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xcf50d9ae...37c31f

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794676200

Traders in this Market

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Up — $8.1K

+$19.34

arcsine-barrister

Up — $4.9K

+$12.17

THG.

Up — $3.4K

+$33.94

mo-money

Up — $2.9K

+$167.04

almach

Up — $2.5K

+$402.01

bosona

Up — $2.1K

+$238.92

CrouchPredictions

Up — $1.2K

-$2.57

hoodquant

Up — $1.1K

+$59.75

blue.birds

Up — $952.54

+$11.4

Bonereaper

Up — $540.09

-$67.46

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