Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Resolved Up. 84% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 84%

Total Value

$29.2K

Combined PnL

$720.96

Smart Money Signal

48 of 57 top traders (84%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%30 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up48 traders

Total Value$29.2K

Total Shares29,244

Combined PnL+$916.19

Down9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares711

Combined PnL-$195.23

Up — 84%Down — 16%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989	Upavg 50¢	$8.7K	$8.4K	+$41.58	54% 383-324 (707)
arcsine-barrister	Upavg 50¢	$5.0K	$4.9K	+$23.73	40% 230-350 (580)
TH THG.	Upavg 99¢	$3.3K	$3.4K	+$33.83	99% 808-7 (815)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$1.8K	$1.8K	+$18.66	98% 3543-73 (3616)
BO bosona	Upavg 90.1¢	$1.8K	$1.3K	-$1.62	51% 4599-4456 (9055)
AL almach	Upavg 83.2¢	$1.1K	$1.2K	+$58.96	50% 1354-1329 (2683)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 74¢	$744.37	$803.84	+$59.48	46% 968-1122 (2090)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 90.1¢	$817.2	$762.83	-$51.54	50% 2196-2203 (4399)
KA KARIZMATIKU	Upavg 51.8¢	$374	$722.67	+$348.67	15% 27-154 (181)
ST stepahead	Upavg 70.7¢	$554.91	$574.18	+$19.27	55% 4364-3577 (7941)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 54¢	$583.24	$501.45	-$0.13	54% 3373-2881 (6254)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 68.8¢	$577.19	$489.2	-$84.69	60% 989-671 (1660)
MO mo-money	Upavg 83.5¢	$1.0K	$508.91	-$33.74	50% 1342-1353 (2695)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 78.4¢	$381.07	$397.8	+$16.73	44% 704-899 (1603)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 74¢	$319.59	$343.42	+$23.83	31% 652-1435 (2087)
AS asdcaxz	Upavg 74.9¢	$284.32	$316.08	+$31.76	50% 4343-4417 (8760)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 79.5¢	$319.35	$265.61	-$53.74	51% 4952-4670 (9622)
LI Little-big	Upavg 45.5¢	$113.8	$250	+$136.2	51% 947-894 (1841)
machinelearned	Upavg 81.2¢	$204.47	$251.34	+$46.87	46% 1021-1204 (2225)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 64.1¢	$142.15	$215.11	+$72.96	52% 833-774 (1607)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 74.8¢	$208.93	$182.14	-$26.79	46% 754-888 (1642)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 77.8¢	$157.06	$166.33	+$9.27	50% 3041-2991 (6032)
0X 0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877	Upavg 74.8¢	$142.96	$157.5	+$14.54	48% 699-751 (1450)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 84.5¢	$109.78	$129.96	+$20.18	50% 1846-1828 (3674)
SP spartacray	Upavg 72.3¢	$100.5	$119.99	+$19.5	58% 917-657 (1574)

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Invested

$8,661

Value

$8.4K

PnL

+$41.58

Record

54%

383-324 (707)

arcsine-barrister

Invested

$5,000

Value

$4.9K

PnL

+$23.73

Record

40%

230-350 (580)

THG.

Invested

$3,349.17

Value

$3.4K

PnL

+$33.83

Record

99%

808-7 (815)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,817.34

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$18.66

Record

98%

3543-73 (3616)

bosona

Invested

$1,796.7

Value

$1.3K

PnL

-$1.62

Record

51%

4599-4456 (9055)

almach

Invested

$1,100.26

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$58.96

Record

50%

1354-1329 (2683)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$744.37

Value

$803.84

PnL

+$59.48

Record

46%

968-1122 (2090)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$817.2

Value

$762.83

PnL

-$51.54

Record

50%

2196-2203 (4399)

KARIZMATIKU

Invested

$374

Value

$722.67

PnL

+$348.67

Record

15%

27-154 (181)

stepahead

Invested

$554.91

Value

$574.18

PnL

+$19.27

Record

55%

4364-3577 (7941)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$583.24

Value

$501.45

PnL

-$0.13

Record

54%

3373-2881 (6254)

Bonereaper

Invested

$577.19

Value

$489.2

PnL

-$84.69

Record

60%

989-671 (1660)

mo-money

Invested

$1,042.81

Value

$508.91

PnL

-$33.74

Record

50%

1342-1353 (2695)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$381.07

Value

$397.8

PnL

+$16.73

Record

44%

704-899 (1603)

ply-pm0

Invested

$319.59

Value

$343.42

PnL

+$23.83

Record

31%

652-1435 (2087)

asdcaxz

Invested

$284.32

Value

$316.08

PnL

+$31.76

Record

50%

4343-4417 (8760)

blue.birds

Invested

$319.35

Value

$265.61

PnL

-$53.74

Record

51%

4952-4670 (9622)

Little-big

Invested

$113.8

Value

$250

PnL

+$136.2

Record

51%

947-894 (1841)

machinelearned

Invested

$204.47

Value

$251.34

PnL

+$46.87

Record

46%

1021-1204 (2225)

wzbbb

Invested

$142.15

Value

$215.11

PnL

+$72.96

Record

52%

833-774 (1607)

GoodFallen

Invested

$208.93

Value

$182.14

PnL

-$26.79

Record

46%

754-888 (1642)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$157.06

Value

$166.33

PnL

+$9.27

Record

50%

3041-2991 (6032)

0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877

Invested

$142.96

Value

$157.5

PnL

+$14.54

Record

48%

699-751 (1450)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$109.78

Value

$129.96

PnL

+$20.18

Record

50%

1846-1828 (3674)

spartacray

Invested

$100.5

Value

$119.99

PnL

+$19.5

Record

58%

917-657 (1574)

Smart Money Signal

48 of 57 top traders (84%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%30 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x88cd8bda...5f7f90

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794674100

Traders in this Market

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Up — $8.4K

+$41.58

arcsine-barrister

Up — $4.9K

+$23.73

THG.

Up — $3.4K

+$33.83

hoodquant

Up — $1.8K

+$18.66

bosona

Up — $1.3K

-$1.62

almach

Up — $1.2K

+$58.96

CrouchPredictions

Up — $803.84

+$59.48

uninformedfloww

Up — $762.83

-$51.54

KARIZMATIKU

Up — $722.67

+$348.67

stepahead

Up — $574.18

+$19.27

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