Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Resolved Down. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
30
Down 74%
$5.9K
$160.3
Smart Money Signal
23 of 30 top traders (77%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $3.2K | $3.2K | +$1.32 | 45% 364-446 (810) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 70.7¢ | $412.45 | $410.97 | -$1.49 | 54% 3536-2962 (6498) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 79.7¢ | $359.1 | $360.97 | +$1.87 | 46% 320-374 (694) |
KA KARIZMATIKU | Downavg 50.8¢ | $187 | $367.83 | +$180.83 | 4% 5-132 (137) |
BO bosona | Downavg 93¢ | $245.77 | $264.17 | +$18.4 | 50% 3604-3646 (7250) |
AL almach | Downavg 85.7¢ | $221.02 | $257.95 | +$36.93 | 43% 374-503 (877) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 87.7¢ | $213.57 | $169.49 | -$5.68 | 52% 3288-3043 (6331) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 82.7¢ | $175.82 | $145.26 | -$30.55 | 59% 326-224 (550) |
AS asdaefef | Downavg 90.1¢ | $137.66 | $146.28 | +$8.61 | 65% 1142-605 (1747) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 89.5¢ | $119.25 | $116.49 | -$2.76 | 39% 233-363 (596) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 87¢ | $119.85 | $90 | -$29.85 | 42% 230-322 (552) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $55.8 | $90 | +$34.2 | 53% 261-236 (497) |
PA Papeasy<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $73.5 | $75 | +$1.5 | 50% 3298-3262 (6560) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 93.1¢ | $68.29 | $67.52 | -$0.77 | 53% 728-635 (1363) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $47.41 | $34.6 | -$12.82 | 51% 259-244 (503) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $31.85 | $35 | +$3.15 | 48% 607-654 (1261) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $22.25 | $25 | +$2.75 | 44% 594-770 (1364) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $27.99 | $15.99 | -$4.45 | 61% 1274-816 (2090) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $6.84 | $12 | +$5.16 | 47% 290-324 (614) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 88.4¢ | $20.86 | $10.25 | +$1.05 | 59% 788-556 (1344) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.7¢ | $10.25 | — | -$10.25 | 36% 371-646 (1017) |
PL ply-pm0CTR<$100 | Upavg 19.6¢ | $18.1 | — | -$18.1 | 22% 270-973 (1243) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.2¢ | $4.8 | — | -$4.8 | 37% 318-539 (857) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $7.7 | — | -$7.7 | 28% 238-607 (845) |
 OhioAICTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $4.95 | — | -$4.95 | 47% 177-201 (378) |
Invested
$3,157.12
Value
$3.2K
PnL
+$1.32
Record
45%
364-446 (810)
Invested
$412.45
Value
$410.97
PnL
-$1.49
Record
54%
3536-2962 (6498)
Invested
$359.1
Value
$360.97
PnL
+$1.87
Record
46%
320-374 (694)
Invested
$187
Value
$367.83
PnL
+$180.83
Record
4%
5-132 (137)
Invested
$245.77
Value
$264.17
PnL
+$18.4
Record
50%
3604-3646 (7250)
Invested
$221.02
Value
$257.95
PnL
+$36.93
Record
43%
374-503 (877)
Invested
$213.57
Value
$169.49
PnL
-$5.68
Record
52%
3288-3043 (6331)
Invested
$175.82
Value
$145.26
PnL
-$30.55
Record
59%
326-224 (550)
Invested
$137.66
Value
$146.28
PnL
+$8.61
Record
65%
1142-605 (1747)
Invested
$119.25
Value
$116.49
PnL
-$2.76
Record
39%
233-363 (596)
Invested
$119.85
Value
$90
PnL
-$29.85
Record
42%
230-322 (552)
Invested
$55.8
Value
$90
PnL
+$34.2
Record
53%
261-236 (497)
Invested
$73.5
Value
$75
PnL
+$1.5
Record
50%
3298-3262 (6560)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$68.29
Value
$67.52
PnL
-$0.77
Record
53%
728-635 (1363)
Invested
$47.41
Value
$34.6
PnL
-$12.82
Record
51%
259-244 (503)
ohioism<$100Invested
$31.85
Value
$35
PnL
+$3.15
Record
48%
607-654 (1261)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$22.25
Value
$25
PnL
+$2.75
Record
44%
594-770 (1364)
Invested
$27.99
Value
$15.99
PnL
-$4.45
Record
61%
1274-816 (2090)
Invested
$6.84
Value
$12
PnL
+$5.16
Record
47%
290-324 (614)
Invested
$20.86
Value
$10.25
PnL
+$1.05
Record
59%
788-556 (1344)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$10.25
Value
—
PnL
-$10.25
Record
36%
371-646 (1017)
Invested
$18.1
Value
—
PnL
-$18.1
Record
22%
270-973 (1243)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$4.8
Value
—
PnL
-$4.8
Record
37%
318-539 (857)
x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR<$100Invested
$7.7
Value
—
PnL
-$7.7
Record
28%
238-607 (845)
OhioAICTR<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
—
PnL
-$4.95
Record
47%
177-201 (378)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $3.2K
stepahead
Down — $410.97
CrouchPredictions
Down — $360.97
KARIZMATIKU
Down — $367.83
bosona
Down — $264.17
almach
Down — $257.95
blue.birds
Down — $169.49
Bonereaper
Down — $145.26
asdaefef
Down — $146.28
GoodFallen
Down — $116.49