Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 66% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
35
Down 68%
$5.7K
$-3.8K
Smart Money Signal
23 of 35 top traders (66%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $1.8K | $1.8K | -$4.52 | 74% 107461-38000 (145461) |
BO BonereaperCTR | Upavg 60.6¢ | $1.0K | — | $-1.0K | 66% 103343-53791 (157134) |
10 1000monkeysCTR | Upavg 64.2¢ | $1.3K | — | $-1.3K | 55% 16090-13311 (29401) |
AS asdcaxzCTR | Upavg 76.3¢ | $870.67 | — | -$870.67 | 48% 6993-7614 (14607) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 43.2¢ | $664.43 | $774.09 | +$109.66 | 51% 12377-11888 (24265) |
 NIULAI4 | Downavg 86¢ | $878.1 | $679.85 | -$198.25 | 75% 9966-3335 (13301) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR | Upavg 50.7¢ | $500.77 | — | -$500.77 | 54% 16650-14101 (30751) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Downavg 61.6¢ | $345.76 | $347.36 | +$1.6 | 53% 14124-12698 (26822) |
 G-Penis-Monster | Downavg 25.4¢ | $99.82 | $278.55 | +$178.73 | 61% 47707-30429 (78136) |
GO GoodFallenCTR | Upavg 52.4¢ | $320.84 | — | -$320.84 | 55% 15148-12522 (27670) |
 machinelearnedCTR | Upavg 73.3¢ | $275.35 | — | -$275.35 | 54% 10221-8698 (18919) |
 OhioAI | Downavg 11.2¢ | $25.48 | $226.62 | +$201.14 | 54% 10534-8877 (19411) |
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658 | Downavg 54.6¢ | $216.3 | $214.42 | -$1.88 | 52% 14038-13170 (27208) |
AN antsaslyku | Downavg 65.9¢ | $178.27 | $178.41 | +$0.15 | 65% 115341-62384 (177725) |
 FairValueMachineCTR | Upavg 36.7¢ | $197.33 | — | -$197.33 | 54% 13830-11796 (25626) |
BO bosona | Downavg 60.4¢ | $147.61 | $155.06 | +$7.44 | 55% 52063-42542 (94605) |
 ohioism | Downavg 29¢ | $42.04 | $145 | +$102.96 | 63% 42806-25442 (68248) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 29.9¢ | $43.29 | $144.56 | +$101.27 | 55% 14033-11309 (25342) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 87¢ | $119.68 | $137.57 | +$17.88 | 55% 52829-43280 (96109) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR | Upavg 38.8¢ | $110.79 | — | -$110.79 | 52% 21295-19590 (40885) |
AS asidjasiodja | Downavg 2¢ | $2.16 | $108 | +$105.84 | 61% 99216-62977 (162193) |
PA Papeasy<$100 | Downavg 69.4¢ | $68.95 | $98.29 | +$29.34 | 51% 5551-5428 (10979) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $9.17 | $96 | +$87.17 | 65% 132557-71749 (204306) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 97.9¢ | $98.31 | — | -$98.31 | 66% 131776-68370 (200146) |
BY ByteBadger93<$100 | Downavg 38.7¢ | $29.27 | $58.8 | +$29.53 | 55% 1794-1449 (3243) |
BoneOhioInvested
$1,777.22
Value
$1.8K
PnL
-$4.52
Record
74%
107461-38000 (145461)
Invested
$1,026.27
Value
—
PnL
$-1.0K
Record
66%
103343-53791 (157134)
Invested
$1,281.39
Value
—
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
55%
16090-13311 (29401)
Invested
$870.67
Value
—
PnL
-$870.67
Record
48%
6993-7614 (14607)
Invested
$664.43
Value
$774.09
PnL
+$109.66
Record
51%
12377-11888 (24265)
NIULAI4Invested
$878.1
Value
$679.85
PnL
-$198.25
Record
75%
9966-3335 (13301)
Invested
$500.77
Value
—
PnL
-$500.77
Record
54%
16650-14101 (30751)
Invested
$345.76
Value
$347.36
PnL
+$1.6
Record
53%
14124-12698 (26822)
G-Penis-MonsterInvested
$99.82
Value
$278.55
PnL
+$178.73
Record
61%
47707-30429 (78136)
Invested
$320.84
Value
—
PnL
-$320.84
Record
55%
15148-12522 (27670)
machinelearnedCTRInvested
$275.35
Value
—
PnL
-$275.35
Record
54%
10221-8698 (18919)
OhioAIInvested
$25.48
Value
$226.62
PnL
+$201.14
Record
54%
10534-8877 (19411)
Invested
$216.3
Value
$214.42
PnL
-$1.88
Record
52%
14038-13170 (27208)
Invested
$178.27
Value
$178.41
PnL
+$0.15
Record
65%
115341-62384 (177725)
FairValueMachineCTRInvested
$197.33
Value
—
PnL
-$197.33
Record
54%
13830-11796 (25626)
Invested
$147.61
Value
$155.06
PnL
+$7.44
Record
55%
52063-42542 (94605)
ohioismInvested
$42.04
Value
$145
PnL
+$102.96
Record
63%
42806-25442 (68248)
Invested
$43.29
Value
$144.56
PnL
+$101.27
Record
55%
14033-11309 (25342)
Invested
$119.68
Value
$137.57
PnL
+$17.88
Record
55%
52829-43280 (96109)
x-MoneyForWhiskasCTRInvested
$110.79
Value
—
PnL
-$110.79
Record
52%
21295-19590 (40885)
Invested
$2.16
Value
$108
PnL
+$105.84
Record
61%
99216-62977 (162193)
Invested
$68.95
Value
$98.29
PnL
+$29.34
Record
51%
5551-5428 (10979)
Invested
$9.17
Value
$96
PnL
+$87.17
Record
65%
132557-71749 (204306)
Invested
$98.31
Value
—
PnL
-$98.31
Record
66%
131776-68370 (200146)
Invested
$29.27
Value
$58.8
PnL
+$29.53
Record
55%
1794-1449 (3243)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
BoneOhio
Down — $1.8K
Bonereaper
CTRUp — $0
1000monkeys
CTRUp — $0
asdcaxz
CTRUp — $0
blue.birds
Down — $774.09
NIULAI4
Down — $679.85
dangerously-skip-permissions
CTRUp — $0
0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335
Down — $347.36
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $278.55
GoodFallen
CTRUp — $0