Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 71%

Total Value

$5.9K

Combined PnL

-$840.3

Smart Money Signal

24 of 35 top traders (69%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up24 traders

Total Value$5.9K

Total Shares5,914

Combined PnL-$148.65

Down11 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,647

Combined PnL-$691.65

Up — 69%Down — 31%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 99.1¢	$1.3K	$1.0K	-$258.74	58% 39676-28685 (68361)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 62.1¢	$773.8	$738.15	-$35.66	54% 16371-13753 (30124)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 83.9¢	$750.43	$739.48	-$10.95	66% 100728-52700 (153428)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 69.7¢	$499.6	$567.59	+$67.99	55% 14604-11969 (26573)
AL almach	Upavg 95¢	$390.02	$398.55	+$8.53	55% 49902-41466 (91368)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 77¢	$381.27	$378.17	-$3.1	51% 11398-10865 (22263)
machinelearned	Upavg 62.8¢	$330.07	$305.37	-$24.7	55% 9558-7907 (17465)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 69.7¢	$338.09	$280.78	-$57.31	56% 15576-12259 (27835)
x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR	Downavg 37.9¢	$391.4	—	-$391.4	52% 20915-19004 (39919)
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658	Upavg 75¢	$211.34	$267.17	+$55.83	52% 9466-8914 (18380)
10 1000monkeys	Upavg 63.5¢	$262.09	$218.5	-$43.59	59% 10896-7502 (18398)
FairValueMachineCTR	Downavg 44.3¢	$186.04	—	-$186.04	55% 13303-10883 (24186)
DR drfc4eybh7i8	Upavg 90.6¢	$147.55	$125.33	-$22.21	65% 129264-69372 (198636)
BO bosona	Upavg 95¢	$97.22	$100	+$2.78	55% 51374-41732 (93106)
AS asdcaxz	Upavg 56.5¢	$106.6	$182.05	+$75.45	48% 5893-6386 (12279)
OhioRiskManagement	Upavg 75.6¢	$106.8	$81.28	-$25.52	49% 80189-83641 (163830)
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335CTR<$100	Downavg 40.4¢	$61.54	—	-$61.54	53% 10216-9221 (19437)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 93.3¢	$78.25	$78.83	+$0.58	66% 129742-66917 (196659)
MO mo-money<$100	Upavg 62¢	$47.33	$75.07	+$27.75	55% 52000-42463 (94463)
13 13897651	Upavg 52.9¢	$75.4	$118.08	+$42.68	56% 8210-6389 (14599)
OhioAI<$100	Upavg 74.4¢	$57.07	$50	-$7.07	54% 10321-8685 (19006)
WZ wzbbb<$100	Upavg 84¢	$35.62	$42.41	+$6.79	56% 9191-7138 (16329)
PA Papeasy<$100	Upavg 48¢	$36	$75	+$39	49% 3852-4005 (7857)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 95.3¢	$29.71	$25	-$4.71	63% 41955-24588 (66543)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 51.7¢	$17.02	$25	+$7.98	61% 45522-28621 (74143)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$1,258.74

Value

$1.0K

PnL

-$258.74

Record

58%

39676-28685 (68361)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$773.8

Value

$738.15

PnL

-$35.66

Record

54%

16371-13753 (30124)

Bonereaper

Invested

$750.43

Value

$739.48

PnL

-$10.95

Record

66%

100728-52700 (153428)

GoodFallen

Invested

$499.6

Value

$567.59

PnL

+$67.99

Record

55%

14604-11969 (26573)

almach

Invested

$390.02

Value

$398.55

PnL

+$8.53

Record

55%

49902-41466 (91368)

blue.birds

Invested

$381.27

Value

$378.17

PnL

-$3.1

Record

51%

11398-10865 (22263)

machinelearned

Invested

$330.07

Value

$305.37

PnL

-$24.7

Record

55%

9558-7907 (17465)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$338.09

Value

$280.78

PnL

-$57.31

Record

56%

15576-12259 (27835)

x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR

Down

Invested

$391.4

Value

—

PnL

-$391.4

Record

52%

20915-19004 (39919)

0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658

Invested

$211.34

Value

$267.17

PnL

+$55.83

Record

52%

9466-8914 (18380)

1000monkeys

Invested

$262.09

Value

$218.5

PnL

-$43.59

Record

59%

10896-7502 (18398)

FairValueMachineCTR

Down

Invested

$186.04

Value

—

PnL

-$186.04

Record

55%

13303-10883 (24186)

drfc4eybh7i8

Invested

$147.55

Value

$125.33

PnL

-$22.21

Record

65%

129264-69372 (198636)

bosona

Invested

$97.22

Value

$100

PnL

+$2.78

Record

55%

51374-41732 (93106)

asdcaxz

Invested

$106.6

Value

$182.05

PnL

+$75.45

Record

48%

5893-6386 (12279)

OhioRiskManagement

Invested

$106.8

Value

$81.28

PnL

-$25.52

Record

49%

80189-83641 (163830)

0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$61.54

Value

—

PnL

-$61.54

Record

53%

10216-9221 (19437)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$78.25

Value

$78.83

PnL

+$0.58

Record

66%

129742-66917 (196659)

mo-money<$100

Invested

$47.33

Value

$75.07

PnL

+$27.75

Record

55%

52000-42463 (94463)

13897651

Invested

$75.4

Value

$118.08

PnL

+$42.68

Record

56%

8210-6389 (14599)

OhioAI<$100

Invested

$57.07

Value

$50

PnL

-$7.07

Record

54%

10321-8685 (19006)

wzbbb<$100

Invested

$35.62

Value

$42.41

PnL

+$6.79

Record

56%

9191-7138 (16329)

Papeasy<$100

Invested

$36

Value

$75

PnL

+$39

Record

49%

3852-4005 (7857)

ohioism<$100

Invested

$29.71

Value

$25

PnL

-$4.71

Record

63%

41955-24588 (66543)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$17.02

Value

$25

PnL

+$7.98

Record

61%

45522-28621 (74143)

Smart Money Signal

24 of 35 top traders (69%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xbae9b31e...a05350

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793872500

Traders in this Market

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $1.0K

-$258.74

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $738.15

-$35.66

Bonereaper

Up — $739.48

-$10.95

GoodFallen

Up — $567.59

+$67.99

almach

Up — $398.55

+$8.53

blue.birds

Up — $378.17

-$3.1

machinelearned

Up — $305.37

-$24.7

CrouchPredictions

Up — $280.78

-$57.31

x-MoneyForWhiskas

CTR

Down — $0

-$391.4

0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658

Up — $267.17

+$55.83

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