Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Resolved Up. 85% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
34
Up 85%
$13.9K
$-1.0K
Smart Money Signal
29 of 34 top traders (85%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $76.84 | $74.77 | -$2.07 | 49% 79812-83277 (163089) |
PA Papeasy<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $72.71 | $75 | +$2.29 | 49% 3699-3820 (7519) |
PB PBot-5 | Upavg 54.3¢ | $264.62 | $482.07 | +$217.45 | 52% 11814-10830 (22644) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 99.1¢ | $59.44 | $60 | +$0.56 | 65% 128751-68998 (197749) |
PB PBot-6CTR | Downavg 34.2¢ | $394.3 | — | -$394.3 | 58% 51757-37804 (89561) |
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100 | Upavg 92.3¢ | $75.92 | $80.71 | +$4.79 | 57% 12348-9335 (21683) |
13 13897651 | Upavg 62¢ | $167.63 | $198.48 | +$30.85 | 56% 7933-6165 (14098) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 95.1¢ | $421.11 | $435.88 | +$14.77 | 55% 51833-42277 (94110) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $10.86 | $10 | -$0.86 | 63% 41692-24326 (66018) |
AL almach | Upavg 95.1¢ | $512.03 | $537.4 | +$25.37 | 55% 49742-41286 (91028) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 77.3¢ | $10.21 | $13.15 | +$2.94 | 65% 113900-60785 (174685) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $0.9 | — | -$0.9 | 58% 62279-45653 (107932) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Downavg 38.5¢ | $1.1K | — | $-1.1K | 58% 39508-28535 (68043) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 93.8¢ | $90.12 | $96.05 | +$5.93 | 48% 5573-6007 (11580) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 94.9¢ | $80.94 | $79.77 | -$1.17 | 52% 93062-87484 (180546) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $40.94 | $36.67 | +$3.67 | 61% 97755-61856 (159611) |
TH THG. | Upavg 99¢ | $3.3K | $3.3K | +$32.94 | 56% 29671-23208 (52879) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 87.2¢ | $30.74 | $35.27 | +$4.53 | 66% 129276-66666 (195942) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 84.1¢ | $115.04 | $135.88 | +$20.84 | 50% 6046-6032 (12078) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 88.1¢ | $480.28 | $480.31 | +$0.03 | 55% 9424-7798 (17222) |
GA gansinimen | Upavg 86¢ | $258 | $300 | +$42 | 51% 17461-16899 (34360) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 90.7¢ | $516.06 | $548.61 | +$32.55 | 63% 60059-34551 (94610) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 96.1¢ | $597.03 | $614.02 | +$16.99 | 46% 39431-46955 (86386) |
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658CTR<$100 | Downavg 39.5¢ | $79 | — | -$79 | 51% 9345-8820 (18165) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.4¢ | $1.8K | $1.8K | +$29.72 | 91% 26779-2517 (29296) |
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$76.84
Value
$74.77
PnL
-$2.07
Record
49%
79812-83277 (163089)
Invested
$72.71
Value
$75
PnL
+$2.29
Record
49%
3699-3820 (7519)
Invested
$264.62
Value
$482.07
PnL
+$217.45
Record
52%
11814-10830 (22644)
Invested
$59.44
Value
$60
PnL
+$0.56
Record
65%
128751-68998 (197749)
Invested
$394.3
Value
—
PnL
-$394.3
Record
58%
51757-37804 (89561)
Invested
$75.92
Value
$80.71
PnL
+$4.79
Record
57%
12348-9335 (21683)
Invested
$167.63
Value
$198.48
PnL
+$30.85
Record
56%
7933-6165 (14098)
Invested
$421.11
Value
$435.88
PnL
+$14.77
Record
55%
51833-42277 (94110)
ohioism<$100Invested
$10.86
Value
$10
PnL
-$0.86
Record
63%
41692-24326 (66018)
Invested
$512.03
Value
$537.4
PnL
+$25.37
Record
55%
49742-41286 (91028)
Invested
$10.21
Value
$13.15
PnL
+$2.94
Record
65%
113900-60785 (174685)
Invested
$0.9
Value
—
PnL
-$0.9
Record
58%
62279-45653 (107932)
Invested
$1,077.5
Value
—
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
58%
39508-28535 (68043)
Invested
$90.12
Value
$96.05
PnL
+$5.93
Record
48%
5573-6007 (11580)
Invested
$80.94
Value
$79.77
PnL
-$1.17
Record
52%
93062-87484 (180546)
Invested
$40.94
Value
$36.67
PnL
+$3.67
Record
61%
97755-61856 (159611)
Invested
$3,261.06
Value
$3.3K
PnL
+$32.94
Record
56%
29671-23208 (52879)
Invested
$30.74
Value
$35.27
PnL
+$4.53
Record
66%
129276-66666 (195942)
Invested
$115.04
Value
$135.88
PnL
+$20.84
Record
50%
6046-6032 (12078)
machinelearnedInvested
$480.28
Value
$480.31
PnL
+$0.03
Record
55%
9424-7798 (17222)
Invested
$258
Value
$300
PnL
+$42
Record
51%
17461-16899 (34360)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$516.06
Value
$548.61
PnL
+$32.55
Record
63%
60059-34551 (94610)
pspspsps5Invested
$597.03
Value
$614.02
PnL
+$16.99
Record
46%
39431-46955 (86386)
Invested
$79
Value
—
PnL
-$79
Record
51%
9345-8820 (18165)
Invested
$1,790.28
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$29.72
Record
91%
26779-2517 (29296)