Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$144.73
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x1f894ae5...c89a1e
Slug
btc-updown-5m-1786906800