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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$225.07
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa5c9e2a5...ac67b9
Slug
btc-updown-5m-1786905900