Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
33
Up 61%
$6.6K
$-1.7K
Smart Money Signal
20 of 33 top traders (61%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 71.9¢ | $1.9K | $2.1K | +$278.47 | 49% 3753-3853 (7606) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.6¢ | $1.4K | $1.4K | +$19.73 | 98% 4700-98 (4798) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 44.8¢ | $415.47 | $625.82 | +$210.69 | 47% 1221-1358 (2579) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 66.4¢ | $544.25 | $590.31 | +$46.06 | 55% 4670-3764 (8434) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.3¢ | $509.78 | — | -$489.1 | 54% 4416-3739 (8155) |
HC HcrystallashCTR | Downavg 28.5¢ | $444.32 | — | -$444.32 | 57% 5242-3886 (9128) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR | Downavg 23.1¢ | $509 | — | -$509 | 57% 4084-3020 (7104) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 65.3¢ | $280.65 | $290.76 | +$10.11 | 52% 1741-1612 (3353) |
RL RLWG | Upavg 34¢ | $165.8 | $280 | +$114.2 | 63% 1999-1169 (3168) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR | Downavg 54.3¢ | $238.46 | — | -$230.33 | 51% 2638-2500 (5138) |
LI Little-big | Upavg 91.5¢ | $195 | $213.05 | +$18.05 | 51% 1178-1119 (2297) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster | Upavg 57.8¢ | $177.38 | $279.18 | +$101.8 | 44% 2501-3236 (5737) |
AL almach | Upavg 79.9¢ | $322.19 | $168.74 | +$29.81 | 52% 1730-1622 (3352) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 85.8¢ | $184.97 | $120.32 | -$36.15 | 50% 4723-4777 (9500) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 45.9¢ | $1.9K | $110.16 | -$683.28 | 49% 2596-2668 (5264) |
PE peepeepoopoo24CTR<$100 | Downavg 42.9¢ | $55.29 | — | -$55.29 | 48% 971-1037 (2008) |
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100 | Upavg 88.9¢ | $81.73 | $85 | +$3.27 | 54% 1107-960 (2067) |
AL Alpharo28<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $59.73 | $79.99 | +$20.26 | 58% 522-375 (897) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 70.5¢ | $84.6 | — | -$84.6 | 47% 2539-2808 (5347) |
BO bosona | Upavg 48¢ | $172.39 | $70.72 | +$87.59 | 51% 4994-4725 (9719) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 61.2¢ | $52 | $52.97 | +$3.99 | 66% 4119-2085 (6204) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 71.5¢ | $29.32 | $41 | +$11.68 | 51% 2283-2160 (4443) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $23.8 | $35 | +$11.2 | 57% 158-117 (275) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $27.3 | $30 | +$2.7 | 52% 5253-4908 (10161) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 75.4¢ | $36 | — | -$36 | 48% 1554-1679 (3233) |
Invested
$1,851.05
Value
$2.1K
PnL
+$278.47
Record
49%
3753-3853 (7606)
Invested
$1,361.27
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$19.73
Record
98%
4700-98 (4798)
Invested
$415.47
Value
$625.82
PnL
+$210.69
Record
47%
1221-1358 (2579)
Invested
$544.25
Value
$590.31
PnL
+$46.06
Record
55%
4670-3764 (8434)
Invested
$509.78
Value
—
PnL
-$489.1
Record
54%
4416-3739 (8155)
Invested
$444.32
Value
—
PnL
-$444.32
Record
57%
5242-3886 (9128)
Invested
$509
Value
—
PnL
-$509
Record
57%
4084-3020 (7104)
Invested
$280.65
Value
$290.76
PnL
+$10.11
Record
52%
1741-1612 (3353)
Invested
$165.8
Value
$280
PnL
+$114.2
Record
63%
1999-1169 (3168)
Polkadot-FrogCTRInvested
$238.46
Value
—
PnL
-$230.33
Record
51%
2638-2500 (5138)
Invested
$195
Value
$213.05
PnL
+$18.05
Record
51%
1178-1119 (2297)
G-Penis-MonsterInvested
$177.38
Value
$279.18
PnL
+$101.8
Record
44%
2501-3236 (5737)
Invested
$322.19
Value
$168.74
PnL
+$29.81
Record
52%
1730-1622 (3352)
Invested
$184.97
Value
$120.32
PnL
-$36.15
Record
50%
4723-4777 (9500)
Invested
$1,870.64
Value
$110.16
PnL
-$683.28
Record
49%
2596-2668 (5264)
Invested
$55.29
Value
—
PnL
-$55.29
Record
48%
971-1037 (2008)
Invested
$81.73
Value
$85
PnL
+$3.27
Record
54%
1107-960 (2067)
Invested
$59.73
Value
$79.99
PnL
+$20.26
Record
58%
522-375 (897)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$84.6
Value
—
PnL
-$84.6
Record
47%
2539-2808 (5347)
Invested
$172.39
Value
$70.72
PnL
+$87.59
Record
51%
4994-4725 (9719)
Invested
$52
Value
$52.97
PnL
+$3.99
Record
66%
4119-2085 (6204)
Invested
$29.32
Value
$41
PnL
+$11.68
Record
51%
2283-2160 (4443)
Invested
$23.8
Value
$35
PnL
+$11.2
Record
57%
158-117 (275)
Invested
$27.3
Value
$30
PnL
+$2.7
Record
52%
5253-4908 (10161)
Invested
$36
Value
—
PnL
-$36
Record
48%
1554-1679 (3233)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $2.1K
hoodquant
Up — $1.4K
CrouchPredictions
Up — $625.82
stepahead
Up — $590.31
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
Hcrystallash
CTRDown — $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRDown — $0
mo-money
Up — $290.76
RLWG
Up — $280

Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0