Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
35
Down 71%
$6.6K
-$430.16
Smart Money Signal
25 of 35 top traders (71%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.8¢ | $1.4K | $1.5K | +$18.12 | 98% 4560-95 (4655) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 64¢ | $1.0K | $1.2K | +$175.55 | 49% 3651-3756 (7407) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 71.7¢ | $807.8 | $1.1K | +$318.2 | 58% 4023-2943 (6966) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 85.3¢ | $1.0K | $996.31 | -$25.74 | 47% 1193-1322 (2515) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.5¢ | $508.16 | — | -$493.6 | 54% 4282-3627 (7909) |
AL almach | Downavg 93.5¢ | $300.61 | $283.07 | -$17.54 | 51% 1687-1592 (3279) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 62.5¢ | $296.28 | $240.49 | -$55.79 | 55% 4634-3736 (8370) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 95.3¢ | $285.77 | $249.99 | -$35.78 | 52% 1704-1576 (3280) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 80¢ | $319.8 | $231.3 | -$88.5 | 58% 5209-3849 (9058) |
AL Alpharo28 | Downavg 78.8¢ | $146.57 | $145 | +$9.85 | 58% 482-353 (835) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 72.6¢ | $237.56 | $110.82 | -$11.99 | 51% 2574-2433 (5007) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 74.2¢ | $65.18 | $87.5 | +$22.32 | 60% 4284-2912 (7196) |
RL RLWGCTR | Upavg 29.7¢ | $106.75 | — | -$106.75 | 63% 1984-1153 (3137) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 52.6¢ | $71.41 | $135.73 | +$64.32 | 51% 2213-2109 (4322) |
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100 | Downavg 91.2¢ | $52.43 | $55 | +$2.57 | 54% 1072-931 (2003) |
BO bosona | Downavg 82¢ | $581.79 | $54.9 | -$81.79 | 51% 4946-4701 (9647) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 85.9¢ | $44.08 | $50.35 | +$6.27 | 50% 4644-4696 (9340) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $49.58 | $40 | -$9.58 | 49% 950-986 (1936) |
FL flippingsharks<$100 | Downavg 78.7¢ | $24.66 | $31.33 | +$6.67 | 38% 794-1290 (2084) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 78.8¢ | $26.9 | $26.64 | -$0.26 | 66% 4016-2029 (6045) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 83.1¢ | $17.48 | $17.78 | +$0.3 | 52% 5211-4882 (10093) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 24¢ | $14.4 | — | -$14.4 | 48% 2553-2774 (5327) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 78.5¢ | $15.7 | $20 | +$4.3 | 62% 4692-2855 (7547) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 67.2¢ | $7.5 | $11.16 | +$3.65 | 42% 2132-2886 (5018) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $13 | $10 | -$3 | 65% 2855-1552 (4407) |
Invested
$1,449.88
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$18.12
Record
98%
4560-95 (4655)
Invested
$1,042.24
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$175.55
Record
49%
3651-3756 (7407)
Invested
$807.8
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$318.2
Record
58%
4023-2943 (6966)
Invested
$1,022.05
Value
$996.31
PnL
-$25.74
Record
47%
1193-1322 (2515)
Invested
$508.16
Value
—
PnL
-$493.6
Record
54%
4282-3627 (7909)
Invested
$300.61
Value
$283.07
PnL
-$17.54
Record
51%
1687-1592 (3279)
Invested
$296.28
Value
$240.49
PnL
-$55.79
Record
55%
4634-3736 (8370)
Invested
$285.77
Value
$249.99
PnL
-$35.78
Record
52%
1704-1576 (3280)
Invested
$319.8
Value
$231.3
PnL
-$88.5
Record
58%
5209-3849 (9058)
Invested
$146.57
Value
$145
PnL
+$9.85
Record
58%
482-353 (835)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$237.56
Value
$110.82
PnL
-$11.99
Record
51%
2574-2433 (5007)
Invested
$65.18
Value
$87.5
PnL
+$22.32
Record
60%
4284-2912 (7196)
Invested
$106.75
Value
—
PnL
-$106.75
Record
63%
1984-1153 (3137)
Invested
$71.41
Value
$135.73
PnL
+$64.32
Record
51%
2213-2109 (4322)
Invested
$52.43
Value
$55
PnL
+$2.57
Record
54%
1072-931 (2003)
Invested
$581.79
Value
$54.9
PnL
-$81.79
Record
51%
4946-4701 (9647)
Invested
$44.08
Value
$50.35
PnL
+$6.27
Record
50%
4644-4696 (9340)
Invested
$49.58
Value
$40
PnL
-$9.58
Record
49%
950-986 (1936)
Invested
$24.66
Value
$31.33
PnL
+$6.67
Record
38%
794-1290 (2084)
Invested
$26.9
Value
$26.64
PnL
-$0.26
Record
66%
4016-2029 (6045)
Invested
$17.48
Value
$17.78
PnL
+$0.3
Record
52%
5211-4882 (10093)
Invested
$14.4
Value
—
PnL
-$14.4
Record
48%
2553-2774 (5327)
Invested
$15.7
Value
$20
PnL
+$4.3
Record
62%
4692-2855 (7547)
Invested
$7.5
Value
$11.16
PnL
+$3.65
Record
42%
2132-2886 (5018)
Invested
$13
Value
$10
PnL
-$3
Record
65%
2855-1552 (4407)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $1.5K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $1.2K
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $1.1K
CrouchPredictions
Down — $996.31
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
almach
Down — $283.07
stepahead
Down — $240.49
mo-money
Down — $249.99
Hcrystallash
Down — $231.3
Alpharo28
Down — $145