Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 77%

Total Value

$7.0K

Combined PnL

-$101.64

Smart Money Signal

27 of 35 top traders (77%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up27 traders

Total Value$7.0K

Total Shares6,979

Combined PnL+$1.1K

Down8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,684

Combined PnL$-1.2K

Up — 77%Down — 23%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 81.1¢	$1.6K	$1.6K	-$51.77	49% 3651-3756 (7407)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 97.9¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	+$31.53	42% 2132-2886 (5018)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Upavg 63.9¢	$805.59	$1.3K	+$450.79	58% 4023-2943 (6966)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 66.2¢	$461.76	$630.4	+$168.64	47% 1193-1322 (2515)
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 49.5¢	$513.96	—	-$488.8	54% 4282-3627 (7909)
HC Hcrystallash	Upavg 63.7¢	$381.39	$325.13	-$28.36	58% 5209-3849 (9058)
MO mo-money	Upavg 47¢	$125.38	$250	+$124.62	52% 1704-1576 (3280)
ST stepahead	Upavg 62.7¢	$216.36	$242.29	+$25.92	55% 4634-3736 (8370)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 89.8¢	$626.6	$235.9	-$19.21	51% 2574-2433 (5007)
MayorMamdani	Upavg 96.6¢	$211.06	$218.58	+$7.52	52% 3078-2785 (5863)
RL RLWGCTR	Downavg 34.8¢	$389.79	—	-$389.79	63% 1984-1153 (3137)
ohioism	Upavg 81.5¢	$96.49	$118.4	+$21.9	47% 2471-2739 (5210)
AL almach	Upavg 99.4¢	$642.92	$93.07	+$133.02	51% 1687-1592 (3279)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 57¢	$79.35	$62.04	+$17.39	50% 4644-4696 (9340)
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100	Upavg 63.7¢	$48.18	$60	+$11.82	49% 950-986 (1936)
AA aaa221	Upavg 93¢	$120.65	$58.01	+$16.26	60% 4284-2912 (7196)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 78.7¢	$45.23	$53.55	+$8.32	66% 4016-2029 (6045)
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972<$100	Upavg 86¢	$44.5	$51.74	+$7.24	46% 331-396 (727)
BO bosona	Upavg 99.4¢	$757.99	$36.06	+$122.79	51% 4946-4701 (9647)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 50¢	$31.59	$48.66	+$17.07	43% 2435-3165 (5600)
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100	Upavg 96.7¢	$30.4	$30	-$0.4	54% 1072-931 (2003)
AL Alpharo28<$100	Upavg 62.7¢	$26.6	$42.45	+$15.85	58% 482-353 (835)
FL flippingsharks<$100	Upavg 80¢	$15.93	$19.91	+$3.99	38% 794-1290 (2084)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 75.6¢	$13.49	$17.85	+$4.36	50% 2877-2870 (5747)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Downavg 51¢	$15.3	—	-$15.3	50% 986-979 (1965)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$1,645.99

Value

$1.6K

PnL

-$51.77

Record

49%

3651-3756 (7407)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$1,465.95

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$31.53

Record

42%

2132-2886 (5018)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$805.59

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$450.79

Record

58%

4023-2943 (6966)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$461.76

Value

$630.4

PnL

+$168.64

Record

47%

1193-1322 (2515)

ByteBadger92CTR

Down

Invested

$513.96

Value

—

PnL

-$488.8

Record

54%

4282-3627 (7909)

Hcrystallash

Invested

$381.39

Value

$325.13

PnL

-$28.36

Record

58%

5209-3849 (9058)

mo-money

Invested

$125.38

Value

$250

PnL

+$124.62

Record

52%

1704-1576 (3280)

stepahead

Invested

$216.36

Value

$242.29

PnL

+$25.92

Record

55%

4634-3736 (8370)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$626.6

Value

$235.9

PnL

-$19.21

Record

51%

2574-2433 (5007)

MayorMamdani

Invested

$211.06

Value

$218.58

PnL

+$7.52

Record

52%

3078-2785 (5863)

RLWGCTR

Down

Invested

$389.79

Value

—

PnL

-$389.79

Record

63%

1984-1153 (3137)

ohioism

Invested

$96.49

Value

$118.4

PnL

+$21.9

Record

47%

2471-2739 (5210)

almach

Invested

$642.92

Value

$93.07

PnL

+$133.02

Record

51%

1687-1592 (3279)

asdcaxz<$100

Invested

$79.35

Value

$62.04

PnL

+$17.39

Record

50%

4644-4696 (9340)

peepeepoopoo24<$100

Invested

$48.18

Value

$60

PnL

+$11.82

Record

49%

950-986 (1936)

aaa221

Invested

$120.65

Value

$58.01

PnL

+$16.26

Record

60%

4284-2912 (7196)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$45.23

Value

$53.55

PnL

+$8.32

Record

66%

4016-2029 (6045)

0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972<$100

Invested

$44.5

Value

$51.74

PnL

+$7.24

Record

46%

331-396 (727)

bosona

Invested

$757.99

Value

$36.06

PnL

+$122.79

Record

51%

4946-4701 (9647)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$31.59

Value

$48.66

PnL

+$17.07

Record

43%

2435-3165 (5600)

EZTRADENL2<$100

Invested

$30.4

Value

$30

PnL

-$0.4

Record

54%

1072-931 (2003)

Alpharo28<$100

Invested

$26.6

Value

$42.45

PnL

+$15.85

Record

58%

482-353 (835)

flippingsharks<$100

Invested

$15.93

Value

$19.91

PnL

+$3.99

Record

38%

794-1290 (2084)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$13.49

Value

$17.85

PnL

+$4.36

Record

50%

2877-2870 (5747)

PBot-6CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$15.3

Value

—

PnL

-$15.3

Record

50%

986-979 (1965)

Smart Money Signal

27 of 35 top traders (77%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x8fd413d7...dac4fa

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1794769200

Traders in this Market

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $1.6K

-$51.77

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $1.5K

+$31.53

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $1.3K

+$450.79

CrouchPredictions

Up — $630.4

+$168.64

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$488.8

Hcrystallash

Up — $325.13

-$28.36

mo-money

Up — $250

+$124.62

stepahead

Up — $242.29

+$25.92

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $235.9

-$19.21

MayorMamdani

Up — $218.58

+$7.52

Trade on Polymarket