Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Resolved Up. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 88%

Total Value

$4.4K

Combined PnL

$128.59

Smart Money Signal

22 of 25 top traders (88%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up22 traders

Total Value$4.4K

Total Shares4,413

Combined PnL+$337.28

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,281

Combined PnL-$208.69

Up — 88%Down — 12%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.8¢	$1.3K	$1.3K	+$15.36	98% 4326-89 (4415)
HC Hcrystallash	Upavg 66.2¢	$544.87	$509.83	-$35.04	58% 5145-3799 (8944)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 51.4¢	$529.55	$490	-$2.55	54% 4065-3413 (7478)
MO mo-money	Upavg 90.5¢	$414.6	$371.78	-$42.82	52% 1616-1518 (3134)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 45.8¢	$238.15	$320.48	+$275.79	42% 1993-2712 (4705)
BO bosona	Upavg 91.8¢	$299.86	$300.62	+$0.77	51% 4861-4639 (9500)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 78.5¢	$316.01	$193.16	+$4.37	51% 2459-2319 (4778)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Upavg 95¢	$142.5	$150	+$7.5	58% 3957-2883 (6840)
LI Little-big	Upavg 56.4¢	$83.4	$148	+$64.6	51% 1099-1042 (2141)
ST stepahead	Upavg 79.4¢	$135.13	$133	-$2.13	55% 4570-3688 (8258)
AL Alpharo28	Upavg 79.6¢	$105.45	$132.45	+$27	57% 420-312 (732)
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100	Upavg 93.9¢	$67.85	$70	+$2.15	53% 998-893 (1891)
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR	Downavg 38¢	$192.1	—	-$192.1	48% 1144-1261 (2405)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 86.8¢	$59.45	$66	+$6.55	50% 4510-4587 (9097)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 92.3¢	$58.99	$61	+$2.01	52% 2955-2690 (5645)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 64¢	$47.63	$47.76	+$0.13	67% 3836-1923 (5759)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 72¢	$20.1	$25	+$4.9	48% 2357-2599 (4956)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 70.7¢	$40.44	$21	+$4.89	62% 4490-2713 (7203)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 95.6¢	$20.08	$21	+$0.92	50% 2738-2731 (5469)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 85.6¢	$15.19	$16.22	+$1.03	65% 2713-1481 (4194)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 72¢	$15.6	$16	+$0.4	48% 2459-2704 (5163)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 71¢	$8.85	$10	+$1.15	48% 2437-2636 (5073)
AL almachCTR	Downavg 4¢	$275	—	-$8	51% 1612-1521 (3133)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 0.5¢	$8.59	—	-$8.59	49% 3541-3613 (7154)
BL blue.birds<$100	Upavg 71¢	$0.71	$1	+$0.29	52% 5145-4824 (9969)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,293.64

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$15.36

Record

98%

4326-89 (4415)

Hcrystallash

Invested

$544.87

Value

$509.83

PnL

-$35.04

Record

58%

5145-3799 (8944)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$529.55

Value

$490

PnL

-$2.55

Record

54%

4065-3413 (7478)

mo-money

Invested

$414.6

Value

$371.78

PnL

-$42.82

Record

52%

1616-1518 (3134)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$238.15

Value

$320.48

PnL

+$275.79

Record

42%

1993-2712 (4705)

bosona

Invested

$299.86

Value

$300.62

PnL

+$0.77

Record

51%

4861-4639 (9500)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$316.01

Value

$193.16

PnL

+$4.37

Record

51%

2459-2319 (4778)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$142.5

Value

$150

PnL

+$7.5

Record

58%

3957-2883 (6840)

Little-big

Invested

$83.4

Value

$148

PnL

+$64.6

Record

51%

1099-1042 (2141)

stepahead

Invested

$135.13

Value

$133

PnL

-$2.13

Record

55%

4570-3688 (8258)

Alpharo28

Invested

$105.45

Value

$132.45

PnL

+$27

Record

57%

420-312 (732)

EZTRADENL2<$100

Invested

$67.85

Value

$70

PnL

+$2.15

Record

53%

998-893 (1891)

CrouchPredictionsCTR

Down

Invested

$192.1

Value

—

PnL

-$192.1

Record

48%

1144-1261 (2405)

asdcaxz<$100

Invested

$59.45

Value

$66

PnL

+$6.55

Record

50%

4510-4587 (9097)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$58.99

Value

$61

PnL

+$2.01

Record

52%

2955-2690 (5645)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$47.63

Value

$47.76

PnL

+$0.13

Record

67%

3836-1923 (5759)

ohioism<$100

Invested

$20.1

Value

$25

PnL

+$4.9

Record

48%

2357-2599 (4956)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$40.44

Value

$21

PnL

+$4.89

Record

62%

4490-2713 (7203)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$20.08

Value

$21

PnL

+$0.92

Record

50%

2738-2731 (5469)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$15.19

Value

$16.22

PnL

+$1.03

Record

65%

2713-1481 (4194)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$15.6

Value

$16

PnL

+$0.4

Record

48%

2459-2704 (5163)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$8.85

Value

$10

PnL

+$1.15

Record

48%

2437-2636 (5073)

almachCTR

Down

Invested

$275

Value

—

PnL

-$8

Record

51%

1612-1521 (3133)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$8.59

Value

—

PnL

-$8.59

Record

49%

3541-3613 (7154)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$0.71

Value

PnL

+$0.29

Record

52%

5145-4824 (9969)

Smart Money Signal

22 of 25 top traders (88%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x2ea17f8d...086f46

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1794742200

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Up — $1.3K

+$15.36

Hcrystallash

Up — $509.83

-$35.04

ByteBadger92

Up — $490

-$2.55

mo-money

Up — $371.78

-$42.82

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $320.48

+$275.79

bosona

Up — $300.62

+$0.77

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $193.16

+$4.37

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $150

+$7.5

Little-big

Up — $148

+$64.6

stepahead

Up — $133

-$2.13

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