Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
36
Down 72%
$12.5K
$194.67
Smart Money Signal
26 of 36 top traders (72%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 59.1¢ | $5.5K | $4.9K | -$635.7 | 50% 3476-3482 (6958) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 72.6¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | -$15.7 | 48% 1113-1229 (2342) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $826.65 | $835 | +$8.35 | 98% 4191-88 (4279) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 57.1¢ | $689.91 | $755.52 | +$65.61 | 55% 4532-3662 (8194) |
AL almach | Downavg 64.5¢ | $695.55 | $709.14 | +$317.82 | 51% 1570-1480 (3050) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 42.3¢ | $435.39 | $658.69 | +$223.3 | 58% 5120-3777 (8897) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 99¢ | $610.58 | $582.4 | -$28.18 | 51% 2039-1965 (4004) |
LI Little-big | Downavg 30¢ | $167 | $556.28 | +$389.28 | 51% 1062-1015 (2077) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 58.2¢ | $707.68 | $506.08 | +$74.08 | 51% 2389-2256 (4645) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.5¢ | $535.72 | — | -$490.23 | 54% 3939-3307 (7246) |
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972 | Downavg 97.4¢ | $421.7 | $433.08 | +$11.38 | 44% 306-388 (694) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 56.8¢ | $119.26 | $210 | +$90.74 | 58% 3913-2854 (6767) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 53.4¢ | $177.67 | $182.67 | +$5 | 49% 903-932 (1835) |
 NIULAI4 | Downavg 91.1¢ | $165.8 | $182 | +$16.2 | 29% 540-1311 (1851) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 95¢ | $1.5K | $155.87 | +$321.33 | 51% 1567-1482 (3049) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 78.4¢ | $117.7 | $145 | +$27.3 | 52% 955-872 (1827) |
AS asabovesobelow2 | Downavg 88.9¢ | $112.25 | $126.27 | +$14.02 | 37% 79-135 (214) |
AL Alpharo28 | Downavg 65.4¢ | $78.29 | $119.73 | +$41.44 | 56% 381-299 (680) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 48.7¢ | $36 | $73.98 | +$37.98 | 48% 198-216 (414) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 59.3¢ | $52.7 | $57.26 | +$4.56 | 52% 5108-4798 (9906) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 88.2¢ | $29.4 | $33.32 | +$3.92 | 28% 304-782 (1086) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 71.2¢ | $21.05 | $29.57 | +$8.52 | 67% 3730-1865 (5595) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $17.19 | — | -$17.19 | 46% 3122-3654 (6776) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 48.7¢ | $14.6 | $29.99 | +$15.4 | 50% 901-901 (1802) |
FL flippingsharks<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $12.22 | $13.54 | +$1.32 | 38% 737-1209 (1946) |
Invested
$5,515.98
Value
$4.9K
PnL
-$635.7
Record
50%
3476-3482 (6958)
Invested
$1,244.07
Value
$1.2K
PnL
-$15.7
Record
48%
1113-1229 (2342)
Invested
$826.65
Value
$835
PnL
+$8.35
Record
98%
4191-88 (4279)
Invested
$689.91
Value
$755.52
PnL
+$65.61
Record
55%
4532-3662 (8194)
Invested
$695.55
Value
$709.14
PnL
+$317.82
Record
51%
1570-1480 (3050)
Invested
$435.39
Value
$658.69
PnL
+$223.3
Record
58%
5120-3777 (8897)
Invested
$610.58
Value
$582.4
PnL
-$28.18
Record
51%
2039-1965 (4004)
Invested
$167
Value
$556.28
PnL
+$389.28
Record
51%
1062-1015 (2077)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$707.68
Value
$506.08
PnL
+$74.08
Record
51%
2389-2256 (4645)
Invested
$535.72
Value
—
PnL
-$490.23
Record
54%
3939-3307 (7246)
Invested
$421.7
Value
$433.08
PnL
+$11.38
Record
44%
306-388 (694)
Invested
$119.26
Value
$210
PnL
+$90.74
Record
58%
3913-2854 (6767)
Invested
$177.67
Value
$182.67
PnL
+$5
Record
49%
903-932 (1835)
NIULAI4Invested
$165.8
Value
$182
PnL
+$16.2
Record
29%
540-1311 (1851)
Invested
$1,462.47
Value
$155.87
PnL
+$321.33
Record
51%
1567-1482 (3049)
Invested
$117.7
Value
$145
PnL
+$27.3
Record
52%
955-872 (1827)
Invested
$112.25
Value
$126.27
PnL
+$14.02
Record
37%
79-135 (214)
Invested
$78.29
Value
$119.73
PnL
+$41.44
Record
56%
381-299 (680)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$36
Value
$73.98
PnL
+$37.98
Record
48%
198-216 (414)
Invested
$52.7
Value
$57.26
PnL
+$4.56
Record
52%
5108-4798 (9906)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$29.4
Value
$33.32
PnL
+$3.92
Record
28%
304-782 (1086)
Invested
$21.05
Value
$29.57
PnL
+$8.52
Record
67%
3730-1865 (5595)
Invested
$17.19
Value
—
PnL
-$17.19
Record
46%
3122-3654 (6776)
Invested
$14.6
Value
$29.99
PnL
+$15.4
Record
50%
901-901 (1802)
Invested
$12.22
Value
$13.54
PnL
+$1.32
Record
38%
737-1209 (1946)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $4.9K
CrouchPredictions
Down — $1.2K
hoodquant
Down — $835
stepahead
Down — $755.52
almach
Down — $709.14
Hcrystallash
Down — $658.69
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $582.4
Little-big
Down — $556.28
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $506.08
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0