Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
29
Up 64%
2 arb excluded
$3.7K
$-1.1K
Smart Money Signal
18 of 29 top traders (62%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.8¢ | $1.2K | $1.3K | +$14.65 | 98% 4049-84 (4133) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 64.4¢ | $618.45 | $611.98 | -$5.67 | 48% 1087-1196 (2283) |
HC HcrystallashCTR | Downavg 43.5¢ | $576.37 | — | -$570.36 | 58% 5086-3744 (8830) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.7¢ | $511.77 | $490 | -$4.1 | 54% 3808-3199 (7007) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.6¢ | $243.17 | $490 | +$247.7 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.7¢ | $253.7 | — | -$251.8 | |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 94.1¢ | $239.1 | $250 | +$10.9 | 52% 920-847 (1767) |
LI Little-big | Upavg 53.5¢ | $106.94 | $200 | +$93.06 | 51% 1039-991 (2030) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 61.9¢ | $188.65 | $199 | +$11.33 | 51% 2323-2193 (4516) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 84.2¢ | $155.7 | $185 | +$29.3 | 58% 3808-2767 (6575) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Downavg 12.4¢ | $399.9 | — | -$397.06 | 50% 3372-3320 (6692) |
ST stepaheadCTR | Downavg 31.1¢ | $176.85 | — | -$176.85 | 55% 4495-3639 (8134) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 70.3¢ | $78.62 | $76.36 | -$0.34 | 67% 3623-1806 (5429) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8 | Upavg 70¢ | $141.24 | $65 | +$4.75 | 62% 4256-2556 (6812) |
 G-Penis-MonsterARB<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $71.8 | $75 | +$3.2 | 44% 2227-2869 (5096) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 61¢ | $45.75 | $75 | +$29.25 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 57¢ | $26.05 | — | -$26.05 | |
PE peepeepoopoo24CTR<$100 | Downavg 28.4¢ | $41.24 | — | -$41.24 | 49% 890-922 (1812) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 54¢ | $55.88 | $103.54 | +$47.67 | 51% 1980-1923 (3903) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 58.3¢ | $24.84 | $39.23 | +$14.39 | 51% 4768-4559 (9327) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $34.2 | — | -$34.2 | 47% 2327-2591 (4918) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 77.1¢ | $33.27 | $34.18 | +$1.03 | 50% 2579-2590 (5169) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 55.5¢ | $33.3 | — | -$33.3 | 48% 2317-2509 (4826) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 56.3¢ | $33.58 | — | -$33.58 | 47% 2226-2478 (4704) |
AL Alpharo28<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $39.47 | $30 | -$0.97 | 57% 352-271 (623) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $21.12 | $22.23 | +$1.11 | 57% 138-103 (241) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $23.66 | — | -$23.66 | 52% 5083-4768 (9851) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 77.7¢ | $15.1 | $15.7 | +$0.6 | 65% 2569-1402 (3971) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $18.25 | — | -$18.25 | 49% 1381-1459 (2840) |
Invested
$1,247.35
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$14.65
Record
98%
4049-84 (4133)
Invested
$618.45
Value
$611.98
PnL
-$5.67
Record
48%
1087-1196 (2283)
Invested
$576.37
Value
—
PnL
-$570.36
Record
58%
5086-3744 (8830)
Invested
$511.77
Value
$490
PnL
-$4.1
Record
54%
3808-3199 (7007)
Both legs:
Invested
$239.1
Value
$250
PnL
+$10.9
Record
52%
920-847 (1767)
Invested
$106.94
Value
$200
PnL
+$93.06
Record
51%
1039-991 (2030)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$188.65
Value
$199
PnL
+$11.33
Record
51%
2323-2193 (4516)
Invested
$155.7
Value
$185
PnL
+$29.3
Record
58%
3808-2767 (6575)
Invested
$399.9
Value
—
PnL
-$397.06
Record
50%
3372-3320 (6692)
Invested
$176.85
Value
—
PnL
-$176.85
Record
55%
4495-3639 (8134)
Invested
$78.62
Value
$76.36
PnL
-$0.34
Record
67%
3623-1806 (5429)
Invested
$141.24
Value
$65
PnL
+$4.75
Record
62%
4256-2556 (6812)
G-Penis-MonsterARB<$100Invested
$71.8
Value
$75
PnL
+$3.2
Record
44%
2227-2869 (5096)
Both legs:
Invested
$41.24
Value
—
PnL
-$41.24
Record
49%
890-922 (1812)
Invested
$55.88
Value
$103.54
PnL
+$47.67
Record
51%
1980-1923 (3903)
Invested
$24.84
Value
$39.23
PnL
+$14.39
Record
51%
4768-4559 (9327)
Invested
$34.2
Value
—
PnL
-$34.2
Record
47%
2327-2591 (4918)
Invested
$33.27
Value
$34.18
PnL
+$1.03
Record
50%
2579-2590 (5169)
Invested
$33.3
Value
—
PnL
-$33.3
Record
48%
2317-2509 (4826)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$33.58
Value
—
PnL
-$33.58
Record
47%
2226-2478 (4704)
Invested
$39.47
Value
$30
PnL
-$0.97
Record
57%
352-271 (623)
Invested
$21.12
Value
$22.23
PnL
+$1.11
Record
57%
138-103 (241)
Invested
$23.66
Value
—
PnL
-$23.66
Record
52%
5083-4768 (9851)
Invested
$15.1
Value
$15.7
PnL
+$0.6
Record
65%
2569-1402 (3971)
Invested
$18.25
Value
—
PnL
-$18.25
Record
49%
1381-1459 (2840)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $1.3K
CrouchPredictions
Up — $611.98
Hcrystallash
CTRDown — $0
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
EZTRADENL2
Up — $250
Little-big
Up — $200
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $199
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $185
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown — $0
stepahead
CTRDown — $0