Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 81% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
31
Up 81%
2 arb excluded
$7.2K
$726.2
Smart Money Signal
25 of 31 top traders (81%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 83¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | -$4.72 | 51% 3321-3240 (6561) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.9¢ | $1.0K | $1.1K | +$11.6 | 98% 3966-84 (4050) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 73.3¢ | $779.68 | $945.41 | +$165.73 | 47% 1068-1182 (2250) |
HC Hcrystallash | Upavg 63.9¢ | $516.92 | $744.14 | +$233.52 | 58% 5063-3721 (8784) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 94.5¢ | $690.89 | $731.38 | +$40.49 | 58% 3760-2730 (6490) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 91.5¢ | $806.59 | $599.38 | -$206.65 | 52% 2296-2150 (4446) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.5¢ | $508.08 | $495.99 | -$1.42 | 54% 3731-3151 (6882) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $247.9 | $495.99 | +$249.34 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.5¢ | $250.8 | — | -$250.75 | |
LI Little-big | Upavg 48.3¢ | $103.09 | $213.3 | +$110.21 | 51% 1013-972 (1985) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 81.7¢ | $162.08 | $190.78 | +$28.7 | 52% 903-831 (1734) |
AL almach | Upavg 54.4¢ | $104.48 | $182.05 | +$77.57 | 51% 1492-1421 (2913) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 52.7¢ | $137.14 | $135.48 | -$1.66 | 55% 4474-3627 (8101) |
BO bosona | Upavg 56.9¢ | $331.6 | $142.09 | +$215.49 | 51% 4740-4541 (9281) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Upavg 70.1¢ | $130.81 | $130.04 | -$0.78 | 49% 886-917 (1803) |
MO mo-moneyARB<$100 | Upavg 90.9¢ | $498.25 | $93 | +$28.85 | 51% 1487-1429 (2916) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 90.9¢ | $84.53 | $93 | -$61.87 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 11.9¢ | $40.58 | — | +$90.72 | |
AL Alpharo28<$100 | Upavg 62.8¢ | $62.69 | $99.86 | +$37.17 | 57% 334-257 (591) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Upavg 52.5¢ | $38.25 | $72.83 | +$34.58 | 47% 191-212 (403) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 80.4¢ | $50.46 | $55.16 | +$7.14 | 67% 3569-1770 (5339) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 73.8¢ | $37.1 | $50.27 | +$13.17 | 52% 5063-4757 (9820) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 77.9¢ | $34.95 | $34.98 | +$0.03 | 48% 2261-2474 (4735) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 79.3¢ | $78.38 | $26.05 | +$0.48 | 63% 4195-2511 (6706) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $26.66 | $31.04 | +$4.38 | 59% 3865-2632 (6497) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $20 | $25 | +$5 | 70% 1672-705 (2377) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 68.2¢ | $17.05 | $25 | +$7.95 | 47% 2185-2435 (4620) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $13.6 | — | -$13.6 | 49% 2374-2443 (4817) |
FL flippingsharks<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $14.91 | $12.53 | -$2.38 | 38% 696-1135 (1831) |
Invested
$1,127.85
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$4.72
Record
51%
3321-3240 (6561)
Invested
$1,049.75
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$11.6
Record
98%
3966-84 (4050)
Invested
$779.68
Value
$945.41
PnL
+$165.73
Record
47%
1068-1182 (2250)
Invested
$516.92
Value
$744.14
PnL
+$233.52
Record
58%
5063-3721 (8784)
Invested
$690.89
Value
$731.38
PnL
+$40.49
Record
58%
3760-2730 (6490)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$806.59
Value
$599.38
PnL
-$206.65
Record
52%
2296-2150 (4446)
Invested
$508.08
Value
$495.99
PnL
-$1.42
Record
54%
3731-3151 (6882)
Both legs:
Invested
$103.09
Value
$213.3
PnL
+$110.21
Record
51%
1013-972 (1985)
Invested
$162.08
Value
$190.78
PnL
+$28.7
Record
52%
903-831 (1734)
Invested
$104.48
Value
$182.05
PnL
+$77.57
Record
51%
1492-1421 (2913)
Invested
$137.14
Value
$135.48
PnL
-$1.66
Record
55%
4474-3627 (8101)
Invested
$331.6
Value
$142.09
PnL
+$215.49
Record
51%
4740-4541 (9281)
Invested
$130.81
Value
$130.04
PnL
-$0.78
Record
49%
886-917 (1803)
Invested
$498.25
Value
$93
PnL
+$28.85
Record
51%
1487-1429 (2916)
Both legs:
Invested
$62.69
Value
$99.86
PnL
+$37.17
Record
57%
334-257 (591)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$38.25
Value
$72.83
PnL
+$34.58
Record
47%
191-212 (403)
Invested
$50.46
Value
$55.16
PnL
+$7.14
Record
67%
3569-1770 (5339)
Invested
$37.1
Value
$50.27
PnL
+$13.17
Record
52%
5063-4757 (9820)
Invested
$34.95
Value
$34.98
PnL
+$0.03
Record
48%
2261-2474 (4735)
Invested
$78.38
Value
$26.05
PnL
+$0.48
Record
63%
4195-2511 (6706)
Invested
$26.66
Value
$31.04
PnL
+$4.38
Record
59%
3865-2632 (6497)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$20
Value
$25
PnL
+$5
Record
70%
1672-705 (2377)
ohioism<$100Invested
$17.05
Value
$25
PnL
+$7.95
Record
47%
2185-2435 (4620)
Invested
$13.6
Value
—
PnL
-$13.6
Record
49%
2374-2443 (4817)
Invested
$14.91
Value
$12.53
PnL
-$2.38
Record
38%
696-1135 (1831)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $1.1K
hoodquant
Up — $1.1K
CrouchPredictions
Up — $945.41
Hcrystallash
Up — $744.14
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $731.38
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $599.38
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Little-big
Up — $213.3
EZTRADENL2
Up — $190.78
almach
Up — $182.05