Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 69%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$14.8K

Combined PnL

-$939.88

Smart Money Signal

24 of 35 top traders (69%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up24 traders

Total Value$14.3K

Total Shares14,263

Combined PnL+$2.4K

Down11 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares9,052

Combined PnL$-3.4K

Up — 69%Down — 31%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Upavg 87.6¢	$2.2K	$2.1K	+$105.84	58% 3692-2676 (6368)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 99¢	$2.0K	$2.0K	+$20	51% 1932-1885 (3817)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR	Downavg 26.4¢	$1.7K	—	$-1.7K	51% 3248-3166 (6414)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.8¢	$1.2K	$1.3K	+$15.47	98% 3857-81 (3938)
MO mo-money	Upavg 85.2¢	$1.6K	$1.2K	+$45.04	51% 1450-1401 (2851)
BO bosona	Upavg 91.1¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	+$9.58	51% 4704-4511 (9215)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 65.4¢	$898.92	$930.59	+$32.17	47% 1037-1165 (2202)
AL almach	Upavg 97.5¢	$1.8K	$939.42	-$116.45	51% 1455-1389 (2844)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 8.4¢	$61.61	$729.82	+$668.21	42% 1736-2377 (4113)
RL RLWG	Upavg 35.4¢	$836.76	$2.4K	+$1.5K	64% 1925-1072 (2997)
HC HcrystallashCTR	Downavg 45.5¢	$600.28	—	-$600.28	58% 5031-3699 (8730)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.8¢	$526.43	$499.72	+$0.31	54% 3632-3064 (6696)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$249.95	$499.72	+$252.17
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.8¢	$253.19	—	-$251.86
EZ EZTRADENL2	Upavg 66.1¢	$314.36	$261.19	-$53.17	52% 874-813 (1687)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 71.5¢	$536.22	$249.12	+$26.56	52% 2247-2098 (4345)
ST stepahead	Upavg 51.4¢	$245.84	$243.83	-$2	55% 4442-3611 (8053)
gabigol	Upavg 79.8¢	$186.01	$210.4	+$24.39	49% 267-281 (548)
AS asdaefef	Upavg 80.1¢	$191.65	$185.64	-$5.07	67% 3477-1728 (5205)
AL Alpharo28CTR	Downavg 85.4¢	$138.16	—	-$130.36	56% 307-237 (544)
BL blue.birds<$100	Upavg 70.3¢	$93.9	$90	-$3.9	52% 5039-4741 (9780)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 97¢	$48.3	$49.77	+$1.47	52% 2738-2492 (5230)
BoneOhio	Upavg 30¢	$44.99	$149.98	+$104.99	71% 1635-682 (2317)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 75¢	$37.5	$50	+$12.5	48% 2195-2413 (4608)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 80.5¢	$26.56	$26.27	-$0.29	50% 2462-2507 (4969)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Downavg 78.6¢	$19.16	—	-$19.16	65% 2474-1360 (3834)
UN uninformedflowwCTR	Downavg 29.6¢	$2.7K	—	-$750.44	49% 2317-2371 (4688)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$2,189.03

Value

$2.1K

PnL

+$105.84

Record

58%

3692-2676 (6368)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$1,980

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$20

Record

51%

1932-1885 (3817)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR

Down

Invested

$1,673.44

Value

—

PnL

$-1.7K

Record

51%

3248-3166 (6414)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,245.53

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$15.47

Record

98%

3857-81 (3938)

mo-money

Invested

$1,619.95

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$45.04

Record

51%

1450-1401 (2851)

bosona

Invested

$1,112.67

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$9.58

Record

51%

4704-4511 (9215)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$898.92

Value

$930.59

PnL

+$32.17

Record

47%

1037-1165 (2202)

almach

Invested

$1,839.85

Value

$939.42

PnL

-$116.45

Record

51%

1455-1389 (2844)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$61.61

Value

$729.82

PnL

+$668.21

Record

42%

1736-2377 (4113)

RLWG

Invested

$836.76

Value

$2.4K

PnL

+$1.5K

Record

64%

1925-1072 (2997)

HcrystallashCTR

Down

Invested

$600.28

Value

—

PnL

-$600.28

Record

58%

5031-3699 (8730)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Down

Invested

$526.43

Value

$499.72

PnL

+$0.31

Record

54%

3632-3064 (6696)

Both legs:

Up$249.9550¢+$252.17

Down$253.1949.8¢-$251.86

EZTRADENL2

Invested

$314.36

Value

$261.19

PnL

-$53.17

Record

52%

874-813 (1687)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$536.22

Value

$249.12

PnL

+$26.56

Record

52%

2247-2098 (4345)

stepahead

Invested

$245.84

Value

$243.83

PnL

-$2

Record

55%

4442-3611 (8053)

gabigol

Invested

$186.01

Value

$210.4

PnL

+$24.39

Record

49%

267-281 (548)

asdaefef

Invested

$191.65

Value

$185.64

PnL

-$5.07

Record

67%

3477-1728 (5205)

Alpharo28CTR

Down

Invested

$138.16

Value

—

PnL

-$130.36

Record

56%

307-237 (544)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$93.9

Value

$90

PnL

-$3.9

Record

52%

5039-4741 (9780)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$48.3

Value

$49.77

PnL

+$1.47

Record

52%

2738-2492 (5230)

BoneOhio

Invested

$44.99

Value

$149.98

PnL

+$104.99

Record

71%

1635-682 (2317)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$37.5

Value

$50

PnL

+$12.5

Record

48%

2195-2413 (4608)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$26.56

Value

$26.27

PnL

-$0.29

Record

50%

2462-2507 (4969)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$19.16

Value

—

PnL

-$19.16

Record

65%

2474-1360 (3834)

uninformedflowwCTR

Down

Invested

$2,701.44

Value

—

PnL

-$750.44

Record

49%

2317-2371 (4688)

Smart Money Signal

24 of 35 top traders (69%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xdfbd7270...a8b25b

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1794700800

Traders in this Market

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $2.1K

+$105.84

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $2.0K

+$20

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Down — $0

$-1.7K

hoodquant

Up — $1.3K

+$15.47

mo-money

Up — $1.2K

+$45.04

bosona

Up — $1.1K

+$9.58

CrouchPredictions

Up — $930.59

+$32.17

almach

Up — $939.42

-$116.45

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $729.82

+$668.21

RLWG

Up — $2.4K

+$1.5K

Trade on Polymarket