Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
35
Down 74%
$7.1K
-$297.22
Smart Money Signal
26 of 35 top traders (74%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.8¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$18.73 | 98% 3651-75 (3726) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 62.5¢ | $718.01 | $1.0K | +$352.34 | 50% 2231-2229 (4460) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 63.5¢ | $761.05 | $757.42 | +$71.42 | 51% 3103-3041 (6144) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 60.1¢ | $555.34 | $720.3 | +$164.96 | 50% 488-495 (983) |
HC HcrystallashCTR | Upavg 39.7¢ | $616.67 | — | -$553.38 | 58% 4982-3643 (8625) |
AL almach | Downavg 79¢ | $420 | $500 | +$80 | 51% 1383-1347 (2730) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.5¢ | $529.8 | — | -$489.96 | 54% 3449-2937 (6386) |
BO bosona | Downavg 81.9¢ | $567.16 | $500 | +$28.01 | 51% 4625-4478 (9103) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 56.8¢ | $459.96 | $480.99 | +$21.03 | 47% 991-1132 (2123) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 79¢ | $312.8 | $372.38 | +$59.58 | 50% 1373-1367 (2740) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 51.7¢ | $180.58 | $175.71 | -$4.86 | 55% 4389-3585 (7974) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 85.9¢ | $125.69 | $144 | +$18.31 | 51% 829-786 (1615) |
AL Alpharo28 | Downavg 77.6¢ | $122.67 | $132.53 | +$14.92 | 56% 261-207 (468) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 49.7¢ | $108.27 | $124 | +$15.73 | 50% 4383-4460 (8843) |
 ohioism | Downavg 54.5¢ | $72.25 | $106.99 | +$38.14 | 47% 2042-2277 (4319) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 76.7¢ | $97.35 | $95 | -$2.1 | 52% 2174-2029 (4203) |
 G-Penis-Monster | Downavg 52.5¢ | $70.2 | $120 | +$49.8 | 44% 2041-2641 (4682) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR | Upavg 23¢ | $146.15 | — | -$146.15 | 58% 3610-2614 (6224) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 51.2¢ | $53.8 | $55 | +$1.2 | 47% 2135-2370 (4505) |
 gabigol<$100 | Downavg 80.6¢ | $35.17 | $41.03 | +$5.87 | 48% 255-274 (529) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 64.8¢ | $25.98 | $30.51 | +$6.2 | 67% 3341-1667 (5008) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $23.99 | $30 | +$6.01 | 51% 4993-4711 (9704) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $31.49 | — | -$31.49 | 47% 2092-2317 (4409) |
PE peepeepoopoo24CTR<$100 | Upavg 30.7¢ | $33.04 | — | -$33.04 | 49% 870-892 (1762) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $27.5 | $50 | +$22.5 | 50% 1880-1856 (3736) |
Invested
$1,508.51
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$18.73
Record
98%
3651-75 (3726)
Invested
$718.01
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$352.34
Record
50%
2231-2229 (4460)
Invested
$761.05
Value
$757.42
PnL
+$71.42
Record
51%
3103-3041 (6144)
Invested
$555.34
Value
$720.3
PnL
+$164.96
Record
50%
488-495 (983)
Invested
$616.67
Value
—
PnL
-$553.38
Record
58%
4982-3643 (8625)
Invested
$420
Value
$500
PnL
+$80
Record
51%
1383-1347 (2730)
Invested
$529.8
Value
—
PnL
-$489.96
Record
54%
3449-2937 (6386)
Invested
$567.16
Value
$500
PnL
+$28.01
Record
51%
4625-4478 (9103)
Invested
$459.96
Value
$480.99
PnL
+$21.03
Record
47%
991-1132 (2123)
Invested
$312.8
Value
$372.38
PnL
+$59.58
Record
50%
1373-1367 (2740)
Invested
$180.58
Value
$175.71
PnL
-$4.86
Record
55%
4389-3585 (7974)
Invested
$125.69
Value
$144
PnL
+$18.31
Record
51%
829-786 (1615)
Invested
$122.67
Value
$132.53
PnL
+$14.92
Record
56%
261-207 (468)
Invested
$108.27
Value
$124
PnL
+$15.73
Record
50%
4383-4460 (8843)
ohioismInvested
$72.25
Value
$106.99
PnL
+$38.14
Record
47%
2042-2277 (4319)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$97.35
Value
$95
PnL
-$2.1
Record
52%
2174-2029 (4203)
G-Penis-MonsterInvested
$70.2
Value
$120
PnL
+$49.8
Record
44%
2041-2641 (4682)
Invested
$146.15
Value
—
PnL
-$146.15
Record
58%
3610-2614 (6224)
Invested
$53.8
Value
$55
PnL
+$1.2
Record
47%
2135-2370 (4505)
gabigol<$100Invested
$35.17
Value
$41.03
PnL
+$5.87
Record
48%
255-274 (529)
Invested
$25.98
Value
$30.51
PnL
+$6.2
Record
67%
3341-1667 (5008)
Invested
$23.99
Value
$30
PnL
+$6.01
Record
51%
4993-4711 (9704)
Invested
$31.49
Value
—
PnL
-$31.49
Record
47%
2092-2317 (4409)
Invested
$33.04
Value
—
PnL
-$33.04
Record
49%
870-892 (1762)
Invested
$27.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$22.5
Record
50%
1880-1856 (3736)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $1.5K
uninformedfloww
Down — $1.0K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $757.42
aswfadq1555
Down — $720.3
Hcrystallash
CTRUp — $0
almach
Down — $500
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
bosona
Down — $500
CrouchPredictions
Down — $480.99
mo-money
Down — $372.38