Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
41
Down 75%
$7.7K
-$307.11
Smart Money Signal
31 of 41 top traders (76%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $1.8K | $1.8K | +$17.7 | 98% 3651-75 (3726) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 81.2¢ | $849.93 | $890.44 | +$82.32 | 51% 3103-3041 (6144) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $751.8 | $752.55 | +$0.75 | 52% 1374-1272 (2646) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 71.6¢ | $510.62 | $600.18 | +$166.65 | 50% 488-495 (983) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 89.2¢ | $541.6 | $537.03 | -$4.57 | 55% 4389-3585 (7974) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 89.6¢ | $460.3 | $513.49 | +$53.19 | 58% 3610-2614 (6224) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.7¢ | $503.7 | — | -$497.8 | 54% 3449-2937 (6386) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 94.4¢ | $453.16 | $455.18 | +$2.02 | 51% 829-786 (1615) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 79.4¢ | $430.28 | $391.51 | +$47.95 | 47% 991-1132 (2123) |
BO bosona | Downavg 88¢ | $213.98 | $240.42 | +$26.44 | 51% 4625-4478 (9103) |
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972 | Downavg 93.9¢ | $192.5 | $204.91 | +$12.41 | 42% 283-383 (666) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 63.8¢ | $166.3 | $163 | +$3.14 | 52% 2174-2029 (4203) |
 NIULAI4 | Downavg 95.8¢ | $136.93 | $143 | +$6.07 | 27% 474-1260 (1734) |
RL RLWGCTR | Upavg 22.7¢ | $134.01 | — | -$134.01 | 64% 1914-1059 (2973) |
 gabigol | Downavg 98¢ | $122.38 | $122.62 | +$0.24 | 48% 255-274 (529) |
AL Alpharo28 | Downavg 86.7¢ | $104 | $120 | +$16 | 56% 261-207 (468) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 90.1¢ | $118.53 | $107.14 | -$11.39 | 49% 870-892 (1762) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 91.6¢ | $475.05 | $105.88 | -$2.1 | 50% 1373-1367 (2740) |
LI Little-big | Downavg 62.7¢ | $125.37 | $200 | +$74.63 | 51% 961-907 (1868) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 75.6¢ | $64.15 | $68 | +$3.85 | 50% 4383-4460 (8843) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 92.7¢ | $49.88 | $53.81 | +$3.94 | 52% 2630-2425 (5055) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Downavg 97.3¢ | $49.5 | $50.89 | +$1.39 | 35% 72-131 (203) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 36¢ | $44.14 | — | -$44.14 | 50% 2231-2229 (4460) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $41.84 | $42.26 | +$0.42 | 50% 1880-1856 (3736) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $30.51 | $34.28 | +$3.77 | 67% 3341-1667 (5008) |
Invested
$1,752.3
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$17.7
Record
98%
3651-75 (3726)
Invested
$849.93
Value
$890.44
PnL
+$82.32
Record
51%
3103-3041 (6144)
Invested
$751.8
Value
$752.55
PnL
+$0.75
Record
52%
1374-1272 (2646)
Invested
$510.62
Value
$600.18
PnL
+$166.65
Record
50%
488-495 (983)
Invested
$541.6
Value
$537.03
PnL
-$4.57
Record
55%
4389-3585 (7974)
Invested
$460.3
Value
$513.49
PnL
+$53.19
Record
58%
3610-2614 (6224)
Invested
$503.7
Value
—
PnL
-$497.8
Record
54%
3449-2937 (6386)
Invested
$453.16
Value
$455.18
PnL
+$2.02
Record
51%
829-786 (1615)
Invested
$430.28
Value
$391.51
PnL
+$47.95
Record
47%
991-1132 (2123)
Invested
$213.98
Value
$240.42
PnL
+$26.44
Record
51%
4625-4478 (9103)
Invested
$192.5
Value
$204.91
PnL
+$12.41
Record
42%
283-383 (666)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$166.3
Value
$163
PnL
+$3.14
Record
52%
2174-2029 (4203)
NIULAI4Invested
$136.93
Value
$143
PnL
+$6.07
Record
27%
474-1260 (1734)
Invested
$134.01
Value
—
PnL
-$134.01
Record
64%
1914-1059 (2973)
gabigolInvested
$122.38
Value
$122.62
PnL
+$0.24
Record
48%
255-274 (529)
Invested
$104
Value
$120
PnL
+$16
Record
56%
261-207 (468)
Invested
$118.53
Value
$107.14
PnL
-$11.39
Record
49%
870-892 (1762)
Invested
$475.05
Value
$105.88
PnL
-$2.1
Record
50%
1373-1367 (2740)
Invested
$125.37
Value
$200
PnL
+$74.63
Record
51%
961-907 (1868)
Invested
$64.15
Value
$68
PnL
+$3.85
Record
50%
4383-4460 (8843)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$49.88
Value
$53.81
PnL
+$3.94
Record
52%
2630-2425 (5055)
Invested
$49.5
Value
$50.89
PnL
+$1.39
Record
35%
72-131 (203)
Invested
$44.14
Value
—
PnL
-$44.14
Record
50%
2231-2229 (4460)
Invested
$41.84
Value
$42.26
PnL
+$0.42
Record
50%
1880-1856 (3736)
Invested
$30.51
Value
$34.28
PnL
+$3.77
Record
67%
3341-1667 (5008)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $1.8K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $890.44
0x50f7
Down — $752.55
aswfadq1555
Down — $600.18
stepahead
Down — $537.03
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $513.49
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
EZTRADENL2
Down — $455.18
CrouchPredictions
Down — $391.51
bosona
Down — $240.42