Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Up 70%
$5.7K
-$703.83
Smart Money Signal
19 of 27 top traders (70%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$1.26 | 51% 1269-1214 (2483) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 71.4¢ | $1.4K | $1.2K | -$139.49 | 51% 2884-2810 (5694) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.6¢ | $906.68 | $919.85 | +$13.17 | 98% 3296-70 (3366) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Upavg 68.2¢ | $606.11 | $733.19 | +$127.08 | 50% 454-449 (903) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.3¢ | $518.61 | — | -$490.84 | 55% 3148-2619 (5767) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 83.8¢ | $305.96 | $365 | +$59.04 | 58% 3514-2517 (6031) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 69.9¢ | $357.78 | $310.31 | -$47.47 | 47% 913-1050 (1963) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 58.1¢ | $249.53 | $245.43 | -$4.09 | 55% 4289-3523 (7812) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 66.7¢ | $237.96 | $130 | -$3.53 | 51% 2002-1886 (3888) |
PB PBot-5 | Upavg 43¢ | $56.7 | $132 | +$75.3 | 48% 1122-1203 (2325) |
HC HcrystallashCTR | Downavg 19.8¢ | $333.7 | — | -$236.8 | 58% 4908-3582 (8490) |
AL Alpharo28 | Upavg 67.8¢ | $81.36 | $120.07 | +$38.71 | 58% 186-135 (321) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Downavg 9.6¢ | $55.34 | — | -$55.34 | 50% 1264-1258 (2522) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 60.2¢ | $28.6 | $40 | +$11.4 | 48% 1893-2072 (3965) |
 gabigolCTR<$100 | Downavg 2.3¢ | $10.42 | — | -$10.42 | 48% 237-254 (491) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 81.8¢ | $35.75 | $40 | +$4.25 | 52% 4818-4502 (9320) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 67.3¢ | $29.9 | $35 | +$9.1 | 47% 1910-2144 (4054) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.9¢ | $26.52 | — | -$26.52 | 49% 1252-1281 (2533) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 35.7¢ | $30.72 | — | -$30.72 | 47% 1953-2201 (4154) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $31.82 | $20 | -$11.82 | 49% 841-865 (1706) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 51.6¢ | $19.88 | $38.49 | +$18.61 | 51% 4508-4382 (8890) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $23.8 | $35 | +$11.2 | 44% 1875-2425 (4300) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $19.35 | $36.51 | +$17.16 | 60% 3392-2277 (5669) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 49.7¢ | $14.9 | $30 | +$15.1 | 50% 702-708 (1410) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $41.48 | — | -$41.48 | 50% 1717-1721 (3438) |
Invested
$1,257.62
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$1.26
Record
51%
1269-1214 (2483)
Invested
$1,364.26
Value
$1.2K
PnL
-$139.49
Record
51%
2884-2810 (5694)
Invested
$906.68
Value
$919.85
PnL
+$13.17
Record
98%
3296-70 (3366)
Invested
$606.11
Value
$733.19
PnL
+$127.08
Record
50%
454-449 (903)
Invested
$518.61
Value
—
PnL
-$490.84
Record
55%
3148-2619 (5767)
Invested
$305.96
Value
$365
PnL
+$59.04
Record
58%
3514-2517 (6031)
Invested
$357.78
Value
$310.31
PnL
-$47.47
Record
47%
913-1050 (1963)
Invested
$249.53
Value
$245.43
PnL
-$4.09
Record
55%
4289-3523 (7812)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$237.96
Value
$130
PnL
-$3.53
Record
51%
2002-1886 (3888)
Invested
$56.7
Value
$132
PnL
+$75.3
Record
48%
1122-1203 (2325)
Invested
$333.7
Value
—
PnL
-$236.8
Record
58%
4908-3582 (8490)
Invested
$81.36
Value
$120.07
PnL
+$38.71
Record
58%
186-135 (321)
Invested
$55.34
Value
—
PnL
-$55.34
Record
50%
1264-1258 (2522)
ohioism<$100Invested
$28.6
Value
$40
PnL
+$11.4
Record
48%
1893-2072 (3965)
gabigolCTR<$100Invested
$10.42
Value
—
PnL
-$10.42
Record
48%
237-254 (491)
Invested
$35.75
Value
$40
PnL
+$4.25
Record
52%
4818-4502 (9320)
Invested
$29.9
Value
$35
PnL
+$9.1
Record
47%
1910-2144 (4054)
Invested
$26.52
Value
—
PnL
-$26.52
Record
49%
1252-1281 (2533)
Invested
$30.72
Value
—
PnL
-$30.72
Record
47%
1953-2201 (4154)
Invested
$31.82
Value
$20
PnL
-$11.82
Record
49%
841-865 (1706)
Invested
$19.88
Value
$38.49
PnL
+$18.61
Record
51%
4508-4382 (8890)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$23.8
Value
$35
PnL
+$11.2
Record
44%
1875-2425 (4300)
Invested
$19.35
Value
$36.51
PnL
+$17.16
Record
60%
3392-2277 (5669)
Invested
$14.9
Value
$30
PnL
+$15.1
Record
50%
702-708 (1410)
Invested
$41.48
Value
—
PnL
-$41.48
Record
50%
1717-1721 (3438)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Up — $1.3K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $1.2K
hoodquant
Up — $919.85
aswfadq1555
Up — $733.19
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $365
CrouchPredictions
Up — $310.31
stepahead
Up — $245.43
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $130
PBot-5
Up — $132