Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Resolved Up. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 88%

Total Value

$9.1K

Combined PnL

$1.5K

Smart Money Signal

28 of 32 top traders (88%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up28 traders

Total Value$9.1K

Total Shares9,144

Combined PnL+$1.6K

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares188

Combined PnL-$63.85

Up — 88%Down — 12%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.9¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	+$15.7	98% 3197-68 (3265)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 68.2¢	$1.2K	$1.2K	+$1.15	51% 2841-2744 (5585)
AS aswfadq1555	Upavg 77.9¢	$858.82	$969.37	+$128.8	50% 446-441 (887)
MO mo-money	Upavg 48.3¢	$343.05	$705	+$361.95	49% 1227-1262 (2489)
AL almach	Upavg 41.7¢	$285.66	$678.63	+$392.97	50% 1236-1242 (2478)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 49.9¢	$513.56	$490.01	+$2.9	55% 3086-2563 (5649)
HC Hcrystallash	Upavg 64.7¢	$416.64	$463	+$46.36	58% 4899-3572 (8471)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 75.7¢	$463.32	$611.99	+$148.68	41% 1381-1964 (3345)
BO bosona	Upavg 55¢	$204.49	$367.14	+$162.65	51% 4479-4365 (8844)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 67.8¢	$315.41	$441.74	+$126.33	46% 896-1035 (1931)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 70.9¢	$260.6	$290.42	+$29.82	51% 1963-1859 (3822)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Upavg 89.6¢	$407.55	$221	-$172.75	58% 3466-2465 (5931)
LI Little-big	Upavg 56.8¢	$124.83	$217.15	+$92.32	51% 864-826 (1690)
ST stepahead	Upavg 64.2¢	$159.07	$182.7	+$23.63	55% 4269-3511 (7780)
AS asdcaxz	Upavg 72.5¢	$151.88	$115.32	-$13.67	50% 4145-4216 (8361)
FL flippingsharks	Upavg 72¢	$91.98	$127.79	+$35.81	39% 566-904 (1470)
AL Alpharo28	Upavg 71.1¢	$96.98	$136.46	+$39.48	58% 171-122 (293)
PE peepeepoopoo24	Upavg 66.8¢	$92.36	$114.22	+$21.86	49% 836-858 (1694)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 59.3¢	$63.72	$69.97	+$6.25	44% 1849-2382 (4231)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 57.8¢	$38.6	$65	+$26.4	48% 1860-2039 (3899)
gabigol<$100	Upavg 95¢	$42.02	$42.1	+$0.09	48% 232-251 (483)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 57.4¢	$37.45	$65.19	+$27.74	47% 1885-2113 (3998)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 52.1¢	$21.9	$42	+$20.1	52% 2405-2202 (4607)
PB PBot-6<$100	Upavg 48.3¢	$16.89	$34.99	+$18.09	50% 689-693 (1382)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 50¢	$14.66	—	-$14.66	50% 1684-1697 (3381)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,478.29

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$15.7

Record

98%

3197-68 (3265)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$1,162.98

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$1.15

Record

51%

2841-2744 (5585)

aswfadq1555

Invested

$858.82

Value

$969.37

PnL

+$128.8

Record

50%

446-441 (887)

mo-money

Invested

$343.05

Value

$705

PnL

+$361.95

Record

49%

1227-1262 (2489)

almach

Invested

$285.66

Value

$678.63

PnL

+$392.97

Record

50%

1236-1242 (2478)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$513.56

Value

$490.01

PnL

+$2.9

Record

55%

3086-2563 (5649)

Hcrystallash

Invested

$416.64

Value

$463

PnL

+$46.36

Record

58%

4899-3572 (8471)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$463.32

Value

$611.99

PnL

+$148.68

Record

41%

1381-1964 (3345)

bosona

Invested

$204.49

Value

$367.14

PnL

+$162.65

Record

51%

4479-4365 (8844)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$315.41

Value

$441.74

PnL

+$126.33

Record

46%

896-1035 (1931)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$260.6

Value

$290.42

PnL

+$29.82

Record

51%

1963-1859 (3822)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$407.55

Value

$221

PnL

-$172.75

Record

58%

3466-2465 (5931)

Little-big

Invested

$124.83

Value

$217.15

PnL

+$92.32

Record

51%

864-826 (1690)

stepahead

Invested

$159.07

Value

$182.7

PnL

+$23.63

Record

55%

4269-3511 (7780)

asdcaxz

Invested

$151.88

Value

$115.32

PnL

-$13.67

Record

50%

4145-4216 (8361)

flippingsharks

Invested

$91.98

Value

$127.79

PnL

+$35.81

Record

39%

566-904 (1470)

Alpharo28

Invested

$96.98

Value

$136.46

PnL

+$39.48

Record

58%

171-122 (293)

peepeepoopoo24

Invested

$92.36

Value

$114.22

PnL

+$21.86

Record

49%

836-858 (1694)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$63.72

Value

$69.97

PnL

+$6.25

Record

44%

1849-2382 (4231)

ohioism<$100

Invested

$38.6

Value

$65

PnL

+$26.4

Record

48%

1860-2039 (3899)

gabigol<$100

Invested

$42.02

Value

$42.1

PnL

+$0.09

Record

48%

232-251 (483)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$37.45

Value

$65.19

PnL

+$27.74

Record

47%

1885-2113 (3998)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$21.9

Value

$42

PnL

+$20.1

Record

52%

2405-2202 (4607)

PBot-6<$100

Invested

$16.89

Value

$34.99

PnL

+$18.09

Record

50%

689-693 (1382)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$14.66

Value

—

PnL

-$14.66

Record

50%

1684-1697 (3381)

Smart Money Signal

28 of 32 top traders (88%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x0231a408...85ea99

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1794636000

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Up — $1.5K

+$15.7

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $1.2K

+$1.15

aswfadq1555

Up — $969.37

+$128.8

mo-money

Up — $705

+$361.95

almach

Up — $678.63

+$392.97

ByteBadger92

Up — $490.01

+$2.9

Hcrystallash

Up — $463

+$46.36

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $611.99

+$148.68

bosona

Up — $367.14

+$162.65

CrouchPredictions

Up — $441.74

+$126.33

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