Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 41% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 38%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.9K

Combined PnL

-$209.71

Smart Money Signal

11 of 27 top traders (41%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed16 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up11 traders

Total Value$2.4K

Total Shares2,382

Combined PnL+$393.69

Down16 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares3,209

Combined PnL-$603.4

Up — 41%Down — 59%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
AS aswfadq1555	Upavg 59¢	$628.58	$947.82	+$346.24	50% 428-433 (861)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 79.5¢	$747.93	$751.71	+$3.79	46% 869-1012 (1881)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.9¢	$504.7	$490	-$9.4	55% 2993-2461 (5454)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$245	$490	+$245.3
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.9¢	$254.7	—	-$254.7
AL almachCTR	Downavg 19.4¢	$152.33	—	-$152.33	50% 1203-1208 (2411)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 82.3¢	$417.3	$207.13	-$3.78	51% 1912-1810 (3722)
MO mo-moneyCTR	Downavg 20.5¢	$131.57	—	-$131.57	49% 1190-1231 (2421)
HC Hcrystallash	Upavg 63.2¢	$197.09	$194	+$17.81	58% 4867-3551 (8418)
BO bosonaCTR<$100	Downavg 10¢	$69.61	—	-$69.61	51% 4446-4332 (8778)
ST stepaheadARB<$100	Downavg 33¢	$114.69	$37.96	-$76.73	55% 4242-3487 (7729)
└ Down leg	Downavg 33¢	$79.53	—	-$79.53
└ Up leg	Upavg 92.6¢	$35.16	$37.96	+$2.8
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Upavg 82.6¢	$57.62	$69.75	+$12.13	59% 3388-2384 (5772)
AL Alpharo28	Upavg 87.8¢	$129.29	$80	-$16.96	59% 146-102 (248)
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100	Upavg 95¢	$51.2	$40	-$11.2	49% 823-852 (1675)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 13.3¢	$18.69	—	-$18.69	52% 2361-2151 (4512)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$43.56	$44	+$0.44	98% 3102-65 (3167)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 83.9¢	$29.78	$35.5	+$5.72	67% 3113-1544 (4657)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Downavg 47.2¢	$25.78	—	-$25.78	53% 1556-1404 (2960)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 52¢	$6.24	$12	+$5.76	41% 1300-1898 (3198)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Downavg 13¢	$3.9	—	-$3.9	52% 4724-4405 (9129)
gabigolCTR<$100	Downavg 2.3¢	$11.71	—	-$11.71	48% 227-243 (470)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Downavg 47¢	$8.85	—	-$8.85	50% 665-666 (1331)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 14¢	$1.83	—	-$1.83	44% 1797-2312 (4109)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Downavg 5¢	$0.28	—	-$0.28	46% 2333-2789 (5122)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 34.5¢	$70.75	—	-$70.75	48% 1808-1977 (3785)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 34.4¢	$30.19	—	-$30.19	47% 1867-2116 (3983)
PB PBot-5CTR<$100	Downavg 44.8¢	$29.15	—	-$29.15	49% 1074-1140 (2214)