Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
31
Down 77%
$5.4K
$176.85
Smart Money Signal
24 of 31 top traders (77%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.4¢ | $1.6K | $1.6K | +$27.1 | 98% 2447-49 (2496) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 67.7¢ | $622.83 | $700.22 | +$77.4 | 45% 667-799 (1466) |
BO bosona | Downavg 89.3¢ | $463.33 | $507.5 | +$44.16 | 50% 4140-4074 (8214) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2475-1962 (4437) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
MO mo-money | Downavg 82.7¢ | $253.41 | $265.11 | +$11.7 | 48% 896-962 (1858) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 72.7¢ | $209.47 | $215.94 | +$6.47 | 55% 3986-3312 (7298) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 75.3¢ | $170.06 | $156.69 | -$6.78 | 50% 323-327 (650) |
AL almach | Downavg 68¢ | $73.12 | $107 | +$33.88 | 49% 897-952 (1849) |
LI Little-bigCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $100 | — | -$100 | 52% 678-618 (1296) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 91¢ | $122.17 | $100.5 | +$2.34 | 59% 3030-2107 (5137) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Downavg 52.3¢ | $70.27 | $125 | +$54.73 | 46% 1383-1602 (2985) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 61.5¢ | $61.85 | $72.81 | +$10.97 | 52% 1478-1365 (2843) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 81.7¢ | $54.86 | $67.13 | +$12.27 | 47% 1444-1636 (3080) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 93.3¢ | $60.49 | $64.83 | +$4.34 | 52% 1846-1725 (3571) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 88.3¢ | $53.4 | $60 | +$6.6 | 48% 677-723 (1400) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 64.6¢ | $68.5 | $60 | +$6.51 | 60% 2584-1729 (4313) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $43 | $50 | +$7 | 49% 3564-3672 (7236) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 70.1¢ | $31.75 | $34.86 | +$5.46 | 66% 2417-1229 (3646) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 79.3¢ | $23.8 | $30 | +$6.2 | 48% 818-882 (1700) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 88.6¢ | $25.48 | $28.77 | +$3.29 | 49% 1644-1742 (3386) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 37.5¢ | $55.32 | $28.5 | +$11.71 | 63% 2841-1704 (4545) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 27.2¢ | $25.92 | — | -$25.92 | 44% 1391-1787 (3178) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 44.5¢ | $13.35 | $30 | +$16.65 | 52% 4209-3942 (8151) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144CTR<$100 | Upavg 48.2¢ | $12.25 | — | -$12.25 | 57% 92-70 (162) |
Invested
$1,621.5
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$27.1
Record
98%
2447-49 (2496)
Invested
$622.83
Value
$700.22
PnL
+$77.4
Record
45%
667-799 (1466)
Invested
$463.33
Value
$507.5
PnL
+$44.16
Record
50%
4140-4074 (8214)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2475-1962 (4437)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$253.41
Value
$265.11
PnL
+$11.7
Record
48%
896-962 (1858)
Invested
$209.47
Value
$215.94
PnL
+$6.47
Record
55%
3986-3312 (7298)
Invested
$170.06
Value
$156.69
PnL
-$6.78
Record
50%
323-327 (650)
Invested
$73.12
Value
$107
PnL
+$33.88
Record
49%
897-952 (1849)
Invested
$100
Value
—
PnL
-$100
Record
52%
678-618 (1296)
Invested
$122.17
Value
$100.5
PnL
+$2.34
Record
59%
3030-2107 (5137)
Invested
$70.27
Value
$125
PnL
+$54.73
Record
46%
1383-1602 (2985)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$61.85
Value
$72.81
PnL
+$10.97
Record
52%
1478-1365 (2843)
Invested
$54.86
Value
$67.13
PnL
+$12.27
Record
47%
1444-1636 (3080)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$60.49
Value
$64.83
PnL
+$4.34
Record
52%
1846-1725 (3571)
Invested
$53.4
Value
$60
PnL
+$6.6
Record
48%
677-723 (1400)
Invested
$68.5
Value
$60
PnL
+$6.51
Record
60%
2584-1729 (4313)
Invested
$43
Value
$50
PnL
+$7
Record
49%
3564-3672 (7236)
Invested
$31.75
Value
$34.86
PnL
+$5.46
Record
66%
2417-1229 (3646)
Invested
$23.8
Value
$30
PnL
+$6.2
Record
48%
818-882 (1700)
Invested
$25.48
Value
$28.77
PnL
+$3.29
Record
49%
1644-1742 (3386)
Invested
$55.32
Value
$28.5
PnL
+$11.71
Record
63%
2841-1704 (4545)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$25.92
Value
—
PnL
-$25.92
Record
44%
1391-1787 (3178)
Invested
$13.35
Value
$30
PnL
+$16.65
Record
52%
4209-3942 (8151)
Invested
$12.25
Value
—
PnL
-$12.25
Record
57%
92-70 (162)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $1.6K
CrouchPredictions
Down — $700.22
bosona
Down — $507.5
ByteBadger92
Down — $500
QuantumPebble673
Down — $500
mo-money
Down — $265.11
stepahead
Down — $215.94
aswfadq1555
Down — $156.69
almach
Down — $107
Little-big
CTRUp — $0