Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
28
Up 54%
$2.7K
-$477.36
Smart Money Signal
15 of 28 top traders (54%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 76.1¢ | $520.05 | $625.55 | +$105.5 | 50% 1859-1828 (3687) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 48.3¢ | $505.87 | — | -$495.9 | 56% 2372-1839 (4211) |
HC Hcrystallash | Upavg 82.9¢ | $422.78 | $380.59 | -$41.89 | 58% 4568-3363 (7931) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 77.5¢ | $276.97 | $357.31 | +$80.34 | 59% 2959-2052 (5011) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 73.7¢ | $297.63 | $285 | -$12.56 | 53% 1399-1261 (2660) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Upavg 62.8¢ | $155.55 | $242.92 | +$87.37 | 49% 298-309 (607) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 64¢ | $74.36 | $107.17 | +$32.82 | 55% 3928-3274 (7202) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 91.2¢ | $51.87 | $56.9 | +$5.03 | 60% 2431-1634 (4065) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Downavg 25.9¢ | $34.17 | — | -$34.17 | 48% 840-911 (1751) |
![]() gabigol<$100 | Upavg 91.3¢ | $34.13 | $37.39 | +$3.26 | 53% 181-163 (344) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $23.8 | $34 | +$10.2 | 57% 84-64 (148) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 74.7¢ | $19.34 | $25.88 | +$6.54 | 66% 2271-1160 (3431) |
AL almach<$100 | Upavg 99.1¢ | $21.55 | $19.75 | -$1.8 | 48% 838-895 (1733) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 76¢ | $15.5 | $19 | +$4.2 | 62% 2642-1602 (4244) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 40.2¢ | $36.81 | — | -$33.31 | 47% 1347-1530 (2877) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 70.6¢ | $7.1 | $10.06 | +$2.96 | 63% 1587-944 (2531) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $9.3 | — | -$9.3 | 50% 4072-4027 (8099) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $6.37 | $7 | +$0.63 | 48% 1515-1649 (3164) |
IM imoore-40CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $4.9 | — | -$4.9 | 90% 252-27 (279) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $3.19 | — | -$3.19 | 52% 1755-1602 (3357) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $3.3 | — | -$3.3 | 44% 1316-1666 (2982) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | $2.6 | — | -$2.6 | 66% 1779-919 (2698) |
PE peepeepoopoo24CTR<$100 | Downavg 13¢ | $2.6 | — | -$2.6 | 49% 640-663 (1303) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 5.8¢ | $35.66 | — | -$35.66 | 38% 657-1093 (1750) |
Invested
$520.05
Value
$625.55
PnL
+$105.5
Record
50%
1859-1828 (3687)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$505.87
Value
—
PnL
-$495.9
Record
56%
2372-1839 (4211)
Invested
$422.78
Value
$380.59
PnL
-$41.89
Record
58%
4568-3363 (7931)
Invested
$276.97
Value
$357.31
PnL
+$80.34
Record
59%
2959-2052 (5011)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$297.63
Value
$285
PnL
-$12.56
Record
53%
1399-1261 (2660)
Invested
$155.55
Value
$242.92
PnL
+$87.37
Record
49%
298-309 (607)
Invested
$74.36
Value
$107.17
PnL
+$32.82
Record
55%
3928-3274 (7202)
Invested
$51.87
Value
$56.9
PnL
+$5.03
Record
60%
2431-1634 (4065)
Invested
$34.17
Value
—
PnL
-$34.17
Record
48%
840-911 (1751)
gabigol<$100Invested
$34.13
Value
$37.39
PnL
+$3.26
Record
53%
181-163 (344)
Invested
$23.8
Value
$34
PnL
+$10.2
Record
57%
84-64 (148)
Invested
$19.34
Value
$25.88
PnL
+$6.54
Record
66%
2271-1160 (3431)
Invested
$21.55
Value
$19.75
PnL
-$1.8
Record
48%
838-895 (1733)
Invested
$15.5
Value
$19
PnL
+$4.2
Record
62%
2642-1602 (4244)
Invested
$36.81
Value
—
PnL
-$33.31
Record
47%
1347-1530 (2877)
Invested
$7.1
Value
$10.06
PnL
+$2.96
Record
63%
1587-944 (2531)
Invested
$9.3
Value
—
PnL
-$9.3
Record
50%
4072-4027 (8099)
Invested
$6.37
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.63
Record
48%
1515-1649 (3164)
Invested
$4.9
Value
—
PnL
-$4.9
Record
90%
252-27 (279)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3.19
Value
—
PnL
-$3.19
Record
52%
1755-1602 (3357)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.3
Value
—
PnL
-$3.3
Record
44%
1316-1666 (2982)
Invested
$2.6
Value
—
PnL
-$2.6
Record
66%
1779-919 (2698)
Invested
$2.6
Value
—
PnL
-$2.6
Record
49%
640-663 (1303)
Invested
$35.66
Value
—
PnL
-$35.66
Record
38%
657-1093 (1750)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $625.55
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
Hcrystallash
Up — $380.59
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $357.31

Polkadot-Frog
Up — $285
aswfadq1555
Up — $242.92
stepahead
Up — $107.17
aaa221
Up — $56.9
mo-money
CTRDown — $0