Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
34
Down 65%
$5.1K
$-1.8K
Smart Money Signal
22 of 34 top traders (65%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 97.4¢ | $1.4K | $1.3K | -$41.76 | 58% 4568-3363 (7931) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 75.7¢ | $434.65 | $573.91 | +$139.26 | 59% 2959-2052 (5011) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 45.1¢ | $1.4K | — | $-1.4K | 51% 1376-1320 (2696) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 99.1¢ | $589.19 | $508.33 | -$80.86 | 48% 840-911 (1751) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
AL almach | Downavg 99.1¢ | $575.5 | $500 | -$75.5 | 48% 838-895 (1733) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.4¢ | $502.1 | — | -$496.21 | 56% 2372-1839 (4211) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 52.7¢ | $252.64 | $357.33 | +$151.39 | 49% 298-309 (607) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 82.4¢ | $273.68 | $290.66 | +$16.97 | 50% 1859-1828 (3687) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 88¢ | $642.1 | $200.71 | -$26.53 | 53% 1399-1261 (2660) |
38 38791873984189 | Downavg 49¢ | $98 | $200 | +$102 | 48% 2223-2408 (4631) |
DE devonpoll | Downavg 50¢ | $180 | $180 | -$0 | 53% 314-279 (593) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 49¢ | $70.67 | $144.22 | +$73.55 | 48% 1191-1298 (2489) |
AA aaa221 | Downavg 55¢ | $73.96 | $134.4 | +$60.43 | 60% 2431-1634 (4065) |
BO bosona | Downavg 99.3¢ | $576.49 | $77.08 | +$110.85 | 50% 4072-4027 (8099) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR | Upavg 22.9¢ | $146.73 | — | -$146.73 | 46% 636-736 (1372) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $49.5 | $50.01 | +$0.51 | 98% 2299-45 (2344) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $12.47 | $22 | +$9.53 | 47% 1347-1530 (2877) |
ST stepaheadCTR<$100 | Upavg 18.2¢ | $30.02 | — | -$30.02 | 55% 3928-3274 (7202) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 78.7¢ | $17.04 | $21.65 | +$4.61 | 66% 2271-1160 (3431) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $28.6 | $20 | -$8 | 62% 2642-1602 (4244) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $10.77 | $12.24 | +$1.47 | 48% 1515-1649 (3164) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $4.3 | $5.12 | +$0.82 | 55% 1366-1134 (2500) |
IM imoore-40<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 90% 252-27 (279) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $4.25 | $5 | +$0.75 | 63% 1587-944 (2531) |
Invested
$1,355.98
Value
$1.3K
PnL
-$41.76
Record
58%
4568-3363 (7931)
Invested
$434.65
Value
$573.91
PnL
+$139.26
Record
59%
2959-2052 (5011)
Invested
$1,404.9
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
51%
1376-1320 (2696)
Invested
$589.19
Value
$508.33
PnL
-$80.86
Record
48%
840-911 (1751)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$575.5
Value
$500
PnL
-$75.5
Record
48%
838-895 (1733)
Invested
$502.1
Value
—
PnL
-$496.21
Record
56%
2372-1839 (4211)
Invested
$252.64
Value
$357.33
PnL
+$151.39
Record
49%
298-309 (607)
Invested
$273.68
Value
$290.66
PnL
+$16.97
Record
50%
1859-1828 (3687)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$642.1
Value
$200.71
PnL
-$26.53
Record
53%
1399-1261 (2660)
Invested
$98
Value
$200
PnL
+$102
Record
48%
2223-2408 (4631)
Invested
$180
Value
$180
PnL
-$0
Record
53%
314-279 (593)
Invested
$70.67
Value
$144.22
PnL
+$73.55
Record
48%
1191-1298 (2489)
Invested
$73.96
Value
$134.4
PnL
+$60.43
Record
60%
2431-1634 (4065)
Invested
$576.49
Value
$77.08
PnL
+$110.85
Record
50%
4072-4027 (8099)
Invested
$146.73
Value
—
PnL
-$146.73
Record
46%
636-736 (1372)
Invested
$49.5
Value
$50.01
PnL
+$0.51
Record
98%
2299-45 (2344)
Invested
$12.47
Value
$22
PnL
+$9.53
Record
47%
1347-1530 (2877)
Invested
$30.02
Value
—
PnL
-$30.02
Record
55%
3928-3274 (7202)
Invested
$17.04
Value
$21.65
PnL
+$4.61
Record
66%
2271-1160 (3431)
Invested
$28.6
Value
$20
PnL
-$8
Record
62%
2642-1602 (4244)
Invested
$10.77
Value
$12.24
PnL
+$1.47
Record
48%
1515-1649 (3164)
Invested
$4.3
Value
$5.12
PnL
+$0.82
Record
55%
1366-1134 (2500)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
90%
252-27 (279)
Invested
$4.25
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.75
Record
63%
1587-944 (2531)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
Hcrystallash
Down — $1.3K
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $573.91
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
mo-money
Down — $508.33
QuantumPebble673
Down — $500
almach
Down — $500
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
aswfadq1555
Down — $357.33
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $290.66
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $200.71