Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
26
Up 73%
1 arb excluded
$5.1K
$376.96
Smart Money Signal
19 of 26 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 70¢ | $906.46 | $1.1K | +$151.87 | 51% 1806-1756 (3562) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Upavg 78.3¢ | $836.64 | $592.18 | -$244.46 | 49% 293-300 (593) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 31.9¢ | $261.33 | $701.94 | +$440.62 | 51% 1347-1269 (2616) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 52.2¢ | $423.8 | $557.58 | +$133.77 | 47% 626-720 (1346) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2370-1839 (4209) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $406.89 | $411 | +$4.11 | 98% 2252-45 (2297) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 67.8¢ | $277.61 | $343.42 | +$73.07 | 53% 1367-1231 (2598) |
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972 | Upavg 93¢ | $96 | $103.23 | +$7.23 | 37% 202-340 (542) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 34.5¢ | $99.21 | — | -$99.21 | 58% 4542-3345 (7887) |
ST stepahead<$100 | Upavg 58.8¢ | $89.78 | $71.05 | +$2.14 | 54% 3908-3264 (7172) |
AL almachARB<$100 | Downavg 5.1¢ | $39.26 | $39.31 | +$0.05 | 48% 818-877 (1695) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 29.3¢ | $11.51 | $39.31 | +$27.8 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 5.1¢ | $27.75 | — | -$27.75 | |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Downavg 4.3¢ | $28.92 | — | -$28.92 | 48% 822-890 (1712) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Downavg 14.3¢ | $38.46 | — | -$38.46 | 50% 4052-4009 (8061) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 79.7¢ | $47.11 | $49.07 | +$10.23 | 62% 2576-1569 (4145) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 84.4¢ | $35.56 | $35.33 | -$0.24 | 66% 2224-1129 (3353) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Upavg 78.2¢ | $27.28 | $28.49 | +$1.21 | 49% 624-641 (1265) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 79.6¢ | $20.57 | $22.64 | +$2.07 | 48% 1485-1609 (3094) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 89.1¢ | $17.39 | $18.35 | +$0.96 | 63% 1554-926 (2480) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $15 | — | -$15 | 59% 2945-2044 (4989) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $12.8 | — | -$12.8 | 48% 1171-1273 (2444) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $12.46 | $15.19 | +$2.73 | 60% 2389-1604 (3993) |
 gabigolCTR<$100 | Downavg 14.5¢ | $6.98 | — | -$6.98 | 53% 180-158 (338) |
IM imoore-40<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 90% 247-26 (273) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $2.55 | $5.93 | +$3.38 | 48% 1288-1398 (2686) |
Invested
$906.46
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$151.87
Record
51%
1806-1756 (3562)
Invested
$836.64
Value
$592.18
PnL
-$244.46
Record
49%
293-300 (593)
Invested
$261.33
Value
$701.94
PnL
+$440.62
Record
51%
1347-1269 (2616)
Invested
$423.8
Value
$557.58
PnL
+$133.77
Record
47%
626-720 (1346)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2370-1839 (4209)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$406.89
Value
$411
PnL
+$4.11
Record
98%
2252-45 (2297)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$277.61
Value
$343.42
PnL
+$73.07
Record
53%
1367-1231 (2598)
Invested
$96
Value
$103.23
PnL
+$7.23
Record
37%
202-340 (542)
Invested
$99.21
Value
—
PnL
-$99.21
Record
58%
4542-3345 (7887)
Invested
$89.78
Value
$71.05
PnL
+$2.14
Record
54%
3908-3264 (7172)
Invested
$39.26
Value
$39.31
PnL
+$0.05
Record
48%
818-877 (1695)
Both legs:
Invested
$28.92
Value
—
PnL
-$28.92
Record
48%
822-890 (1712)
Invested
$38.46
Value
—
PnL
-$38.46
Record
50%
4052-4009 (8061)
Invested
$47.11
Value
$49.07
PnL
+$10.23
Record
62%
2576-1569 (4145)
Invested
$35.56
Value
$35.33
PnL
-$0.24
Record
66%
2224-1129 (3353)
Invested
$27.28
Value
$28.49
PnL
+$1.21
Record
49%
624-641 (1265)
Invested
$20.57
Value
$22.64
PnL
+$2.07
Record
48%
1485-1609 (3094)
Invested
$17.39
Value
$18.35
PnL
+$0.96
Record
63%
1554-926 (2480)
Invested
$15
Value
—
PnL
-$15
Record
59%
2945-2044 (4989)
Invested
$12.8
Value
—
PnL
-$12.8
Record
48%
1171-1273 (2444)
Invested
$12.46
Value
$15.19
PnL
+$2.73
Record
60%
2389-1604 (3993)
gabigolCTR<$100Invested
$6.98
Value
—
PnL
-$6.98
Record
53%
180-158 (338)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
90%
247-26 (273)
ohioism<$100Invested
$2.55
Value
$5.93
PnL
+$3.38
Record
48%
1288-1398 (2686)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $1.1K
aswfadq1555
Up — $592.18
uninformedfloww
Up — $701.94
CrouchPredictions
Up — $557.58
ByteBadger92
Up — $500
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
hoodquant
Up — $411
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $343.42
0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972
Up — $103.23
Hcrystallash
CTRDown — $0