Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
43
Up 52%
$10.3K
$-2.8K
Smart Money Signal
23 of 43 top traders (53%)20 hold an outcome priced under 50%25 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $2.0K | $2.0K | +$2.39 | 48% 842-904 (1746) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 78.2¢ | $1.7K | $1.9K | +$163.2 | 50% 1695-1670 (3365) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 80.7¢ | $1.5K | $1.7K | +$284.51 | 52% 1265-1189 (2454) |
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.6K | — | $-1.5K | 56% 121-94 (215) |
HC Hcrystallash | Upavg 96.1¢ | $1.4K | $1.3K | -$24.24 | 58% 4504-3328 (7832) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $761.09 | $768.78 | +$7.69 | 98% 2190-44 (2234) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Upavg 76.2¢ | $712.25 | $689.93 | -$17.07 | 50% 281-286 (567) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 87.9¢ | $643.07 | $501.29 | -$141.78 | 46% 599-699 (1298) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2370-1839 (4209) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 51.5¢ | $181.93 | $352.98 | +$171.05 | 48% 1121-1213 (2334) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 87.3¢ | $902.28 | $347 | +$71.71 | 53% 1315-1180 (2495) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 76.2¢ | $185.91 | $170.79 | -$15.12 | 54% 3880-3241 (7121) |
AL almach | Upavg 94.8¢ | $192.22 | $163.93 | -$28.29 | 47% 765-855 (1620) |
DE devonpollCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $180 | — | -$158.17 | 52% 287-262 (549) |
 BoneOhio | Upavg 65¢ | $84.5 | $130 | +$45.5 | 74% 1014-350 (1364) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Upavg 79.8¢ | $89.14 | $96.33 | +$9.15 | 59% 2916-2014 (4930) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Upavg 93.3¢ | $84 | $60 | -$24 | 49% 590-617 (1207) |
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972<$100 | Upavg 86¢ | $44.5 | $51.74 | +$7.24 | 37% 195-338 (533) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $96.42 | — | -$93.32 | 48% 709-756 (1465) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 82.1¢ | $30.99 | $37.73 | +$6.74 | 67% 2150-1073 (3223) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $45.92 | $33.66 | -$12.26 | 46% 1207-1409 (2616) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $29.98 | $30.31 | +$3.3 | 60% 2300-1532 (3832) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $24.3 | $30 | +$5.7 | 52% 4014-3748 (7762) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 78.5¢ | $33.97 | $28.57 | -$5.41 | 44% 1224-1549 (2773) |
Invested
$1,983.35
Value
$2.0K
PnL
+$2.39
Record
48%
842-904 (1746)
Invested
$1,723.68
Value
$1.9K
PnL
+$163.2
Record
50%
1695-1670 (3365)
Invested
$1,455.24
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$284.51
Record
52%
1265-1189 (2454)
Invested
$1,609
Value
—
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
56%
121-94 (215)
Invested
$1,401.78
Value
$1.3K
PnL
-$24.24
Record
58%
4504-3328 (7832)
Invested
$761.09
Value
$768.78
PnL
+$7.69
Record
98%
2190-44 (2234)
Invested
$712.25
Value
$689.93
PnL
-$17.07
Record
50%
281-286 (567)
Invested
$643.07
Value
$501.29
PnL
-$141.78
Record
46%
599-699 (1298)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2370-1839 (4209)
Invested
$181.93
Value
$352.98
PnL
+$171.05
Record
48%
1121-1213 (2334)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$902.28
Value
$347
PnL
+$71.71
Record
53%
1315-1180 (2495)
Invested
$185.91
Value
$170.79
PnL
-$15.12
Record
54%
3880-3241 (7121)
Invested
$192.22
Value
$163.93
PnL
-$28.29
Record
47%
765-855 (1620)
Invested
$180
Value
—
PnL
-$158.17
Record
52%
287-262 (549)
BoneOhioInvested
$84.5
Value
$130
PnL
+$45.5
Record
74%
1014-350 (1364)
Invested
$89.14
Value
$96.33
PnL
+$9.15
Record
59%
2916-2014 (4930)
Invested
$84
Value
$60
PnL
-$24
Record
49%
590-617 (1207)
Invested
$44.5
Value
$51.74
PnL
+$7.24
Record
37%
195-338 (533)
Invested
$96.42
Value
—
PnL
-$93.32
Record
48%
709-756 (1465)
Invested
$30.99
Value
$37.73
PnL
+$6.74
Record
67%
2150-1073 (3223)
Invested
$45.92
Value
$33.66
PnL
-$12.26
Record
46%
1207-1409 (2616)
Invested
$29.98
Value
$30.31
PnL
+$3.3
Record
60%
2300-1532 (3832)
Invested
$24.3
Value
$30
PnL
+$5.7
Record
52%
4014-3748 (7762)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$33.97
Value
$28.57
PnL
-$5.41
Record
44%
1224-1549 (2773)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Up — $2.0K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $1.9K
uninformedfloww
Up — $1.7K
0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989
CTRDown — $0
Hcrystallash
Up — $1.3K
hoodquant
Up — $768.78
aswfadq1555
Up — $689.93
CrouchPredictions
Up — $501.29
QuantumPebble673
CTRDown — $0
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0